That’s why I am clarifying William. I am asking how they plan to do it…
Or, like how the current government is a minority government relying on the support of independents to govern.
Anyway, we have explained how a government can work, which is off topic. The topic is regarding people’s predictions, which I am genuinely interested in seeing…
I am asking what independents are the liberals going to use to gain majority to govern? I would like to know. Which seats will work with them?
labor and by a land slide its time for the idjit scomo to go 
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it will be a close one but I had to say Liberals. The Labor Party is a shitheap right now. Bill shorten announced that there will ve a huge tax on electricity, bills, water, house prices. It would be a huge waste if Labor wins.
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Firstly, very nice of you to speak about the PM like that. Insightful & classy.
Secondly. It’s spelt ‘idiot’. So tell me again, who is the idiot?
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Better still, practice what you preach…
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He began name calling and called the PM an idiot, something I said I didn’t want in this thread. Why would I not reply?
Good argument against compulsory voting here.
When did he announce this? Sounds an awful lot like the scare campaigns trotted out by the Murdoch press.
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- Use the report button
- Ignore it
And don’t use the defence “he started it”. Presumably we’re grown ups here.
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Who wins
- Labor
- Liberal
0 voters
Labor by at least 8 seats in a majority. I think it could be bigger I think Victoria was I’ll disseminate the LNP
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I’m really not sure who will win, one thing that is almost certain; there will be no landslide either way 🤷
You forgot the options for the following:
- Someone else
- Nuclear annihilation wiping us off the map on election day
- El Captian Cranky taking control
Labor to gain the two new House of Reps seats - Fraser (Vic) and Bean (ACT) - with Port Adelaide (SA) abolished, that gives them a net gain of 1. Cooper (VIC; nee Batman) will be a closer ALP/Greens contest than we saw in the by-election thanks to the redistribution.
Libs to gain Indi (Vic) but lose Gilmore (NSW). Dunkley & Corangamite should fall towards Labor on a uniform swing; Kooyong will hold but like many of the safe Melbourne suburban seats there’ll be a decent size swing away from them. Chisholm and Higgins are seats to watch - the latter is a genuinely three-way contest that could get very close (as Prahran did in the Victorian sate election).
Warringah and Wentworth (NSW) could go either way I reckon. On a 2% swing you’d lose Banks and Robertson, and so assuming the crossbench doesn’t change, all up, Labor would be looking at an easy 78 seats already*. I’d project something in the way of a 10-15 seat majority.
*I’m also expecting the pendulum to remain relatively static in Queensland - this is an election that’ll be won and lost in the south and the west.
Briefly on the Senate: Too many right-wing minor/micro parties will eat away at PHON, and prevent UAP from gaining a decent footing in Queensland. My big call is that Hinch won’t retain his seat, with either a Labor, Green or Animal Justice candidate taking his place
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As for my prediction, well I can’t see anything but a Labor win. Here in Victoria the Liberals are toast. Probably win Indi back but that’s about it. Can’t see them winning Dunkley, Corangamite or Chisholm, unpredictable green and independent preferences could play a part in Higgins, Flinders and Kooyong, Casey, La Trobe and Deakin also likely to come into play.
I’d imagine Libs likely to regain Wentworth and Mayo - maybe. Not sure Downer has been the best option for a candidate there.
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I agree with this - Abbott will narrowly beat Steggall in Warringah. Phillip Thompson takes Herbert for the Coalition, Susan Lamb narrowly holds in Longman for Labor while Melissa McIntosh returns Lindsay to the Coalition. Wentworth could go either way.
As you mentioned, Dobell will likely swing to the Coalition. This is my seat and both parties are promising to spend lots. I anticipate a big swing - Jilly Pilon is well-respected and a great candidate for the region. The Greens will improve in the Dobell primaries, possibly somewhere between 10-15%. On the flip side, the Central Coast’s other seat of Robertson will be just as crucial (1.1% swing) - I expect Lucy Wicks (Liberal) to hold.
Liberals to suddenly win? Well that’d be unprecedented!
I’m predicting Labor to win but I feel like The Greens may get a few seats as well.
Among the younger generation (myself included), there is concern about climate change and not enough action being taken by the big two.
Also quite like some of their policies and their ambition to help fix the NBN which is a massive deal for my sector of work.
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