2016 Ratings Predictions

Wouldn’t OzTam take the step of estimating (i.e.) many watching programs on mobile devices?

It would not be unheard of to just declare the night’s result in Adelaide voided due to the weather event but it depends to what extent it affected viewing across the night or if it affected their collection of the night’s data.

I didn’t expect power to be restored so quickly to parts of Adelaide. But I still think the viewing figures will be affected in the city.

No, they are not set up to do that. The only things that are monitored are TV broadcasts, PVR recording and catch up services.

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Thursday September 29
The grand final editions of The Footy Show should rate very well (especially in Melbourne) due to the 7.30pm start.

The Footy Show 0.81m
Survivor: Millennials v Gen X premiere 0.36m

The Bachelorette 0.65m
Gogglebox 0.57m

Monkeys Make You Laugh Out Loud 0.46m
Selling Houses Australia 0.35m

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Thursday 29th September

The Bachelorette-650k
Gogglebox-625k

Monkeys Make You Laugh Out Loud-525k
Selling Houses Australia-335k

The Footy Show Grand Final Edition-855k

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I think Ch 7 have given up tonight, multi-channels should do well however.

Expecting a big win for The Footy Show & Ch 9.

Friday the 30th of September 2016

Grand Final ‘fever’ will do well for Seven…

•Better Homes & Gardens: 775k
•Bulldogs Road To Glory (special): 700k
•The Da Vinci Code (movie - 7 / 7Mate): 600k
•The Living Room: 550k
•Mr & Mrs Smith (movie - Ch 9): 400k
•Friday Front Bar: 450k
•Postcards: 350k
•RBT (Syd/Bris): 300k

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Saturday the 1st of October 2016

Seven will be the only channel watched during the afternoon, which will flow-on to the evening…

NB/
GF predictions are based on being a close/good game (metro only).

•2016 AFL Grand Final - Game Day: 275k

•2016 AFL Grand Final - Pre Game: 575k

•2016 AFL Grand Final - Pre Match Entertainment (~1:30pm): 1.85m

•2016 AFL Grand Final - On The Ground (~prior to first bounce): 2m

•2016 AFL Grand Final - Post Match (~between final siren & presentations?): 3m

》WESTERN BULLDOGS WIN

•2016 AFL Grand Final (presentations): 3.725m

[Melb: 2m + Syd: 600,000 + Bris: 275,000 + Adel: 400,000 + Per: 450,000].

•2016 AFL Grand Final: 3.4m

[Melb: 1.6m + Syd: 750k + Bris: 300k + Adel: 350k + Per: 400k]

》SYDNEY SWANS WIN

•2016 AFL Grand Final (presentations): 3.125m

[Melb: 1.25m + Syd: 800k + Bris: 275k + Adel: 375k + Per: 425k].

•2016 AFL Grand Final: 3.4m

[Melb: 1.6m + Syd: 750k + Bris: 300k + Adel: 350k + Per: 400k]

I think this will be the biggest Grand Final in history. The highest was 3.4ish in 2005. I think it will be roughly around the 3.5 mark.

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Saturday October 1
I think the GF will rate lower than last year.

AFL Game Day 0.55m
AFL Grand Final preview 0.74m
AFL Grand Final pre-match entertainment 1.45m
AFL Grand Final: Western Bulldogs v Sydney 2.51m (Sydney 360,000, Melbourne 1.5 million, Brisbane 140,000, Adelaide 250,000, Perth 260,000)
AFL Grand Final post-match presentations 1.81m
The Big Music Quiz 0.92m

the year eagles lost to Sydney

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Just updated my post above.

Gotta hate Seven’s multiple coding. So annoying. Half of them, I had to assume what times they were?

Unless anyone can confirm/correct me?

Saturday 1st October

2016 AFL Grand Final match-2.95m

The Big Music Quiz-850k

AFL Grand Final 1.6m in Melb

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Sunday October 2
NRL Grand Final pre-match entertainment 1.83m
NRL Grand Final: Cronulla v Melbourne 2.48m (Sydney 1,100,000, Melbourne 420,000, Brisbane 750,000, Adelaide 90,000, Perth 120,000)
NRL Grand Final post-match presentations 1.79m + 40,000 (9Gem Perth)

The Big Music Quiz 0.65m
Sunday Night 0.54m

All Star Family Feud rpt 0.35m
Movie: Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb 0.33m

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NRL GF: 2.4m

This could be one of the lowest rating GFs ever, seeing there’s no QLD team & no Sydney team that has a huge following.

Especially if Melb Storm belt them.

The only way ratings will be okay, is if Sharks do win & more so if it’s a close game.

NRL Grand Final, Cronulla vs Melbourne: 2.49 Million (Sydney: 1.2million, Melbourne: 450k, Brisbane: 650k, Adelaide: 80k, Perth: 110k).

Post-match presentation ratings will depend on whether it’s the Storm or the Sharks that pick up the trophy.

I doubt there’ll be 600k in Brisbane watching, more like equal to Melbourne LOL

Sunday 2nd October

NRL Grand Final match-2.5m

The Big Music Quiz-650k
Sunday Night-550k

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