Random Radio

[Brianc68]

@Rob_Melb_AU

@Brianc68

Yes I think there’s a strong case for a new commercial licence for Perth based on strong population growth. Interesting there were only ever four commercial AM stations although I guess based on the much lower population in the mid 20th century before Perth overtook Adelaide. I’m guessing if they do add another commercial licence in Perth they’ll need to look at another DAB multiplex.

Absolutely agree. Just looking at the longer term trends over the last 45 years (data sourced from ABS, although bizarrely 2016 census data for areas like Newcastle is really hard to find ), here are some thoughts:

• Perth is growing at a rate that probably two licences should be auctioned. With the transfer of 6MM to FM, I would auction one AM licence on 1116 and auction one FM licence.
• Gold Coast is the other stand out with services not matching population growth. Given the FM congestion, I would look for one of the soon to be abandoned AM frequencies in a nearby solo market for at least one extra station.
• Canberra, I would convert one AM to FM. This effectively means that there is a “standard” ratio of 3 FM to 1 AM in a larger non-capital market.
• Sydney also arguably deserves an extra FM service and with Melbourne’s growth outstripping Sydney, I can’t see it being far behind.

Yes definitely agree with those.

In addition Brisbane either needs a new FM licence or at least a conversion FM licence. It’s the most out of whack in terms of AM vs. FM services with 50% of commercial stations on FM. Also I’m terms of growth rates it’s also back ahead of Perth in this regard.

Definitely think Canberra should get a conversion FM and GC another licence.

Outside of the bigger cities I think there’s a case for a 3rd FM in Darwin to break the duopoly.