It’s important to remember that The Project (particularly the 7pm half hour) and Ten Eyewitness News are among the best consistent performers for Ten. Yes, they could both be better, but making rash changes to them risk doing more harm that good. It’s unlikely that something else in those slots will attract similar number straight away, and given the lack of brand-loyalty Ten currently have they are also unlikely to follow the programs to new times.
There is undeniably a problem with 6pm. Viewers drop like flies for the 6pm hour - it is the most competitive hour on TV, and clearly once people get settled into Seven or Nine’s news they don’t switch off until 7. Obviously people change back to The Project at 7pm. At least some of these would also tune in at 6:30 if Ten had something to get their attention at 6:00, removing the need to go to Nine or Seven.
Family Feud is hands down the wrong show for the 6pm half hour. I’m not going to debate it’s merits - but the sticking point is that it goes after a different audience to what they’re aiming at for The Project - causing yet another turn off at 6:30.
TENFAF has to stay. It is the flagship bulletin that the network is known for. It the #1 news bulletin at 5pm. It is also the #1 program for 5:00-5:30pm weekdays. (Note that The Chase has different coding for the 5pm half hour that does not usually make it into the top 20). Dropping the 5pm bulletin will only cause viewers to switch earlier, and have even less chance of being there at 6pm.
Whatever Ten do at 6pm has to be news related, and it has to fit between their existing brands. Whether it become a 1 hour at 6pm and a 30minute project at 7pm, or 30 mins at 6 followed by 1 hour of The Project is less important. The formats can work that out.
Clearly, people will tune into the Project at 7pm regardless - they’re doing it now, so tuning in mid-show obviously works. Those viewers would know no different if the show started at 7pm.
The Project should also finish no later that 7:30. 7:30 is a switch over time for all networks - any deviation from this would set Ten back and encourage viewers to not switch to Ten at 7:30.
I would personally got a 30 minutes at 6pm, and keep the project as is. The effort that’s goes into The Project warrants it to be 1 hour rather than a short, sharp 30 minutes. It would also given their new 6pm program a point of difference - being shorter, sharper and potentially more fast-paced than Seven and Nine’s offering.
The aim isn’t to be Seven and Nine. That’s too hard (but might happen with the right formula). The aim is to draw in some of their viewers, through retaining their own viewers from 5pm, and giving an option for people who want to watch The Project, but also want to get news at 6pm.
Local or national could also be debated. Pros and cons for both - but ultimately whatever they show has to be relevant, and different enough from the other 2 programs to prevent it becoming repetitive.