How can someone focusing on their health and fitness be a negative? What absolute garbage. Clutching at straws here to make Albanese look weak.
The SA result matched the last newspoll almost exactly. if this holds up federally than its not good for morrison
another speculation about a pre-budget spill, this time by Mark Kenney.
I think if any backbenchers were on edge about it, SA results may bring this forward, especially given it matched the most recent Newspoll. I suspect if it does happen it will be bloodless with Morrison bowing out due to âhealth issuesâ or somesuch
it would need to be carefully calculated because i suspect any whispers of a spill getting up will send Morrison down dunrussel drive so fast it will make tonightâs F1 GP seem like a few Volvos on a Sunday drive
Itâll be silly to oust an incumbent PM less than 8 weeks from polling day
A spill would be the right move. Nothing wrong with doing it at the eleventh hour. In some countries it is assumed the leader is selected a few weeks before the election.
I just feel like the libs donât care enough to pull it off. They have lost the fight in their souls, theyâre looking tired and seem like they are settling into the idea of spending some time in opposition.
Yeah. Who would choose to be the sacrificial lamb who becomes Prime Minister for eight weeks and gets blamed for a landslide loss?
Keeping Scotty is suicide. Booting him for a new leader only weeks away from an election would be apocalyptic for the Liberals.
âNothing wrong with doing it at the eleventh hourâ? Can you hear yourself?? His replacement wouldnât have time to blow their nose before going to the polls.
So? Thatâs the point. Get some unknown that has no baggage that can salvage the traditional liberal voters that are otherwise changing their vote this election to kick out Scotty.
i feel like there are a few narcissists in the libs who would take the job. its a canât lose job anyway. if they go down in a screaming heap, they blame Morrison and claim it was expected. if they win, they are a party hero and seen as a demigod
i think this was an outlier poll to be honest - if this was replicated on election day the ALP would win over 100 seats
i think they are looking at somewhere between 80 and 90 seats on polling day
Plus national numbers in polls are one thing, while the votes will be higher & lower across various seats/electorates.
Still, those are bleak numbers for Morrison and the LNP.
I doubt even a big cash splash budget next week will save them either.
hereâs my predictions on timing for the election:
Budget night is Tuesday the 29th.
The opposition reply is Thursday the 31st. this is set in stone. next is the question of when Morrison will make the drive to the GG to formally kick off the campaign. I think it will be as below:
1st or 2nd of April - Drive to the GG to dissolve parliament and formally kick off the campaign. this will leave 3 weekends open. the 7th, the 14th and the 21st of May.
14th of may will be polling day. Morrison will want to drag this out as much as possible in the hope the opposition have a âbirthday cakeâ interview or a scandal, but wonât go to the 21st as it reeks of desperation to hold on to power
Starting the campaign on April Fools Day will be fitting
There are some talks he might split the elections
he wonât. it will absolutely decimate them if he does. people will not want a few more months of campaigning, it will kill the âbetter economic managerâ line they will run and when it has happened in the past, the government has been massacared for it