Climate, Weather and Emergencies

Plenty of snow down this way. Chains were required to get from Cooma to Nimmitabel and from Cooma to Jindabyne (and of course beyond) this afternoon. Nothing much around Canberra but that isn’t unusual because of our low elevation and unfavourable position for just about any rainfall.

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Seeing snow in Canberra must be quite an experience after however many years you’ve spent in tropical North/Central Queensland at Winter?

Of course there’s pretty much no chance of snow ever reaching the Sydney metropolitan area, as opposed to the Blue Mountains and further West. Although knowing how the media here would likely be whipped up into an absolute frenzy over the even vaguest possibility of snow in this metropolis (it’d dominate headlines in the papers & TV news more than a week in advance), maybe that’s for the best!

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Melbourne had been hit by strong wind and rain since lunchtime yesterday. It got worse at late night when many parts of the city suffered power outages including my suburb. Fortunately power returned at around midnight at my home.

UPDATE: Acting Victorian Premier James Merlino said at this morning’s COVID press conference that there had been 4500 requests for assistance across the state in last 24 hours. 245,000 homes are still affected by power outages.

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It’s probably an even better thing now that Origin wasn’t played in Melbourne last night after all.

Sydney’s forecast max of 11 for today is the lowest I’ve seen in years. Will be interesting to see where that ends up.

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Apparently it snow back in 1836. It would be nice to see it once in my lifetime but unlikely. Maybe we need to be careful what we wish for as I think the city could shutdown. Like it apparently happens in the south of England if it snows a lot.

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Even if the 1836 conditions were repeated there would be very little, if any, snow these days. With the huge increase in population, development and industry since then the city would be too warm for snow to form and settle the same way.

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Snow even at 700 m ASL near the east coast of NSW is a rarity these days. You really have to be at least 900 m to see anything worthwhile. The snow line can be a little lower further west as air masses are generally colder and there’s more precipitation from westerly cold fronts as well, so places like Carcoar at 700 m see more snow than Bungendore or Moss Vale.

If climate was the only consideration, I’d live at Nimmitabel. You’re guaranteed to see snow every year, plus it has cooler summers than the likes of Oberon. Close to the ‘real’ snow too and also a short drive to the South Coast. Pity it’s too far out of Canberra to be viable for me.

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It’s been weird watching the news and social media and seeing all the snow falling and here in north west Tassie, we’ve had wind and showers and that’s about it. No snow, just normal winter storms and cold fronts.

I couldn’t believe seeing the temps in Sydney today, some not even reaching double figures and we had a balmy 15 degrees!

Melbourne also had both Spirits of Tasmania ships today with the Melbourne to Devonport one unable to sail last night due to the conditions and the Devonport to Melbourne one which did leave on time had to stay in Port Phillip Bay with nowhere to berth.

I feel sorry for those stuck on board, already hard with all the COVID restrictions and even worse for those who suffer from sea sickness having a rough crossing and then being stuck on it.

Bad weather forces Spirit of Tasmania to stay in Melbourne | The Advocate | Burnie, TAS

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Fog has also hit Melbourne.

As for the wild weather which hit Melbourne on Wednesday, some reports say that people living in the eastern part of the city (particularly Dandenong Ranges) may have to wait days or even weeks before power is restored, as some areas remain unaccessible.

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It was a unique setup. The cut-off low was sitting over roughly Canberra. Areas to the north of us were in the coldest air and received snow to low levels. The ‘sweet spot’ was actually NW of Sydney around Mudgee where they had snow as low as around 600 m ASL. I am at 700 m ASL near Canberra and didn’t get a single flake.

Areas to the south of Canberra were generally in warmer SE’ly winds, which were actually wrapping around the low and had their ultimate origin in the tropics near New Caledonia. This explains the mild temps in VIC and TAS and copious rainfall in VIC, as well as the severe wind. It was really a Sydney-style ECL in essence if not in form. Rare for the southern states to cop anything like this and that’s why we saw such carnage.

The NSW ski resorts were very fortunate to be just on the cooler side of the low, whereas it was a soggy disaster for the VIC resorts.

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Heavy fog in Brisbane this morning

Yesterday – traffic chopper:

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Severe weather warning cut in

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Oh imagine if Nine did that in the middle of Origin!

Could be similar for the regional changeover for those watching Wimbledon on 9 when it will suddenly change to 10

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All the while:

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