Nine with a segment on March 20 cyclone landfalls in Queensland.
There was Larry and Nathan. Now there is Narelle.
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March is actually the peak risk month for TCs due to high sea surface temperatures and active monsoon troughs. The peak risk extends into April. I think the warm season patterns will be with us for a while yet even down south. We are still seeing high humidity and storms around Canberra. No sign of sustained autumn weather yet and the equinox is tomorrow.
What are the odds of Narelle doing the clean sweep and hitting FNQ, Top End & now potentially Perth of all places?
Alfred nearly reached the northern outskirts of Brisbane last year, so Narelle 2.0 hitting Perth is a distinct possibility.
Looks like I picked the wrong week to go to Perth…
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Well at least it will be cooler than Cane Toad/Humidity City 
We’re getting nuked in the SE too; the East Coast Low might be as powerful as the cyclone, though it will stay offshore. It will be a pretty foul day on Friday in places with temperatures expected to stay below 15C here. It’s been nothing but mid to high 20s for weeks here so it will come as a rude shock, also minimum temperatures well in single digits.
Oh, and the usual severe hailstorms ahead of the change today. Lovely.
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I’ve already been feeling the season changing here, cooler nights and mornings, less humidity in the daytime. Mornings very dark with DST still in place.
Get this into ya!
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31 without any humidity is surprisingly lovely, though the wind is right up here already down in the glorious Margaret River region.
Back in Perth on Friday and preparing for a wet and very windy weekend. Just hoping Narelle stays a bit further away from us.
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Still warmer than my ideal but yes, very manageable especially in shade and now being late March, much lower sun strength. It’s really the blazing sun (rather than raw temp) that makes things uncomfortable here most of the time. The higher in elevation you go the higher the UV, that’s why 25C in the Snowies feels like 35 down lower. Add in the march flies and the high country isn’t the cool summer oasis one expects it to be (unless totally overcast/raining/snowing). I felt much cooler at Cape Bridgewater than I did most of the time at Mount Hotham, both visits in mid Jan.
People reckon they cook in southern NZ and Tassie.as well in summer despite the modest temps, but that hasn’t been my experience. Southern NZ in particular has one of the best summer climates on Earth.
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Snow in March! (in/around Orange NSW).
Enjoying the weather this morning, albeit a bit breezy… but still no rain here and the sun is out. A nippy-ish 16 degrees with a dew point of 4.7 right now.
Snow was also reported at Mount Hotham in Victoria.
Beachgoers, boaties and fishers have been urged to stay away from the NSW coast amid a one-in-100 year swell warning for the weekend, with waves as big as two-storey buildings predicted as severe winds whip up dangerous surf.
Dozens of flights in and out of Sydney have also been cancelled as the wild weather hits NSW, while a cold snap blanketed ski resorts in snow. Winds have been forecast to reach up to 110km/h in parts of the state, which could bring down trees and damage properties.
Conditions on Sydney’s beaches are expected to deteriorate on Friday evening and into Saturday, with southerly swells up to 10 metres offshore and exceeding five metres on the coast predicted in some parts. The warnings for damaging surf and gale force winds stretch north to the Mid North Coast and south to Victoria.
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I can’t believe the snow in Orange this morning. It’s happened before this early but not for a very long time. Apparently Orange had snow in late January back in 1920…but that was in a much cooler climate of course.
It was a relatively balmy 13 here today in the end, though much of the day was in single digits. When the temp warmed up though, the wind started and it was gale force most of the afternoon. Many trees down and power outages galore out towards Braidwood.
There was a 130 km/h wind gust at Montague Island too this afternoon, giving TC Narelle a run for its money. That’s what you get when you mix polar air and 25C sea surface temperatures. Notice how in Victoria it was a standard cold front, then once it got to the South Coast of NSW all hell broke loose. This has been a common pattern with cold fronts this decade, even in winter, as the cold fronts meet the much warmer waters in the Tasman. The Tasman Sea stays warm all through winter now.
Back to summer mid next week again, so the warm weather isn’t done yet.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle has just been downgraded by the Bureau of Meteorology to a tropical low.
The system is currently inland east of Geraldton.
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