Climate, Weather and Emergencies

If anyone had been reading the BoM Technical Bulletins or the US JTWC advisories, from about Thursday they had all models in agreement that Alfred would weaken significantly before landfall, which is indeed what happened. Meanwhile most media continued to broadcast the worst case scenario that it could intensify to a Cat 3 before landfall, without really mentioning this was an extremely unlikely possibility.

I do understand the need to get people to comply and prepare and take it seriously, but I worry that next time, if there is one, some people won’t be as quick to believe the warnings and comply again.

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