2020 Ratings Predictions

I can’t seem to find the correct page to post this…

I would love to know the Adelaide ratings between 10 News First and 9 News at 5pm for the past week please?

Apologise if it’s not in the correct page. :confused:

Monday September 21
It will be a competitive night. I am afraid it won’t be a happy 200th episode for HYBPA due to a low lead-in and live AFL. The Block will be huge tonight.

Monday night AFL: Collingwood v Port Adelaide 0.52m (Seven/7mate)
Home and Away 0.53m (Seven/7TWO)

The Block 1.05m
Celebrity IOU 0.38m

Family Feud 0.25m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.55m
Drunk History Australia 0.27m

22 Sep 2020

  • The Block - 912k
  • Halifax: Retribution - 504k
  • Plate of Origin (Double Ep) Finale - 345k
  • Todd Sampson’s Body Hack - 512k
  • Ambulance Australia - 350k

Tuesday September 22
The Block 0.79m
Halifax: Retribution 0.51m

Plate of Origin grand final 0.35m / 0.32m

Todd Sampson’s Body Hack 0.31m
Ambulance Australia Rpt 0.29m


Wednesday September 23
The Bachelor 0.57m

The Block 0.78m
Australian Crime Stories 0.42m

Highway Patrol Rpt 0.39m / 0.37m
Movie: Taken 3 Rpt 0.26m


Thursday September 24
The Bachelor finale 0.59m
The Bachelor: the final decision 0.73m
Gogglebox 0.62m

Thursday night NRL: Broncos v Cowboys 0.33m (Sydney and Brisbane)

Home and Away triple episodes 0.53m
The Front Bar 0.32m

Sunday September 27
The All New Monty: Guys and Gals finale 0.74m (performance 0.79m)
7News Spotlight: Surviving the Crash premiere 0.36m

The Block 0.94m (reveal winner 1.02m)
60 Minutes 0.57m

Lindy Chamberlain: The True Story premiere 0.46m


Monday September 28
The Block 0.83m
Celebrity IOU 0.35m

Lindy Chamberlain: The True Story part 2 0.34m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.56m

America’s Got Talent semi final 1 0.31m (results 0.28m)


Tuesday September 29
America’s Got Talent semi final 2 0.29m (results 0.27m)

The Block 0.81m
Halifax: Retribution 0.52m

Ambulance Australia Rpt 0.33m
Todd Sampson’s Body Hack season finale 0.31m


Wednesday September 30
All eyes will be on the debut of The Masked Singer USA. Its ratings tonight and tomorrow will determine where the program will go for the rest of the season.

The Masked Singer USA series premiere 0.45m

The Block 0.81m
Australian Crime Stories 0.36m

Highway Patrol Rpt 0.36m / 0.34m
Movie: The Commuter Rpt 0.26m


Thursday October 1
AFL will dominate the night but 10 should do well in demos.

AFL 1st qualifying final: Port Adelaide v Geelong
Seven 0.48m (Melbourne 0.36m + Adelaide 0.12m) + 7mate 0.185m (Sydney 40,000 + Brisbane 35,000 + Perth 0.11m)
Home and Away triple episodes 0.49m (Seven + 7TWO)
Movie: This Means War Rpt 0.26m (Seven + 7mate)

The Masked Singer USA 0.37m
Gogglebox 0.61m

Friday 2nd October - Prime Time

Seven News: 980,000
Seven News 6:30: 950,000
Better Homes: 300,000
AFL: 800,000

Nine News: 940,000
Nine News 6:30: 900,000
A Current Affair: 250,000
NRL: 650,000

Friday October 2
AFL 2nd qualifying final: Brisbane Lions vs Richmond
Seven 0.76m (Melbourne 0.54m + Brisbane 0.1m + Adelaide 0.12m) + 7mate 0.15m (Sydney 40,000 + Perth 0.11m)
Better Homes and Gardens 0.52m

NRL 1st qualifying final: Panthers v Roosters 0.45m (Nine + 9Gem)

The Living Room 0.35m


Saturday October 3
AFL 2nd elimination final: St Kilda v Western Bulldogs
Seven 0.61m (Melbourne 0.41m + Adelaide 90,000 + Perth 0.11m) + 7mate 72,000 (Sydney 30,000 + Brisbane 42,000)
AFL 1st elimination final: West Coast v Collingwood
Seven 0.82m (Melbourne 0.48m + Adelaide 0.12m + Perth 0.22m) + 7mate 90,000 (Sydney 40,000 + Brisbane 50,000)
Movie: Night at the Museum Rpt 0.34m (Seven + 7mate)
Movie: Rise of the Planet of the Apes Rpt 0.28m (Seven + 7mate)

NRL 1st elimination final: Raiders v Sharks 0.46m (Nine + 9Gem)
NRL 2nd qualifying final: Storm v Eels 0.52m (Nine + 9Gem)

1 Like

Sunday October 4
NRL 2nd elimination final: Rabbitohs v Knights 0.39m (Nine + 9Gem)
The Block 0.94m (reveal winner 1.02m)
60 Minutes 0.58m

The Test (highlights version - FTA premiere) 0.67m
Crime Investigations Australia 0.32m

The Graham Norton Show season premiere 0.36m


Monday October 5
The Block 0.89m
RBT season return 0.36m

America’s Got Talent - grand final part 1 0.29m
America’s Got Talent - top 10 special 0.18m

#Trump: How Social Media Changed the Presidency premiere 0.45m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.62m
Drunk History Australia 0.32m


Tuesday October 6
ABC’s Federal Budget coverage should rate pretty well, given the dud alternatives on Seven and 10. The Perth ratings will be interesting as the coverage will be over on ABC News channel before it is replayed on main channel, due to the three hour time difference.

The Block 0.82m
Halifax: Retribution finale 0.51m

Federal Budget 2020: The Treasurer’s Speech 0.74m (ABC) + 0.36m (ABC News)

America’s Got Talent grand final part 2 0.24m
The Latest: Budget special 0.25m

Prince William: A Planet for Us All premiere 0.34m


Wednesday October 7
The Bachelorette season premiere 0.64m

Highway Patrol Rpt 0.43m / 0.41m
Movie: Jack Reacher: Never Go Back Rpt 0.28m

The Block 0.85m
Australian Crime Stories 0.39m


Thursday October 8
The Bachelorette 0.59m
Gogglebox 0.63m

Home and Away triple episodes 0.52m
The Front Bar 0.32m

Paramedics Rpt 0.43m
Kings Cross ER Rpt 0.42m

Federal Budget 2020: Opposition Reply 0.41m


Friday October 9
AFL 2nd semi final: Richmond v St Kilda
Seven 0.65m (Melbourne 0.55m + Adelaide 0.1m) + 7mate 0.185m (Sydney 30,000 + Brisbane 45,000 + Perth 0.11m)
Better Homes and Gardens 0.53m
Movie: John Q Rpt 0.32m (Seven/7mate)

NRL 1st semi final: Roosters v Raiders 0.41m (Nine/9Gem)

The Living Room 0.38m


Saturday October 10
AFL 1st semi final: Geelong v Collingwood
Seven 0.64m (Melbourne 0.54m + Adelaide 90,000) + 7mate 0.16m (Sydney 32,000 + Brisbane 36,000 + Perth 92,000)
Movie: Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian Rpt 0.32m (Seven/7mate)
Movie: Dawn of the Planet of the Apes Rpt 0.28m (Seven/7mate)

NRL 2nd semi final: Eels v Rabbitohs 0.45m (Nine/9Gem)

1 Like

Sunday October 11
Bledisloe Cup: Australia v New Zealand game 1 0.33m
Junior MasterChef Australia season premiere 0.61m

7News presents: Cruising: The Biggest Storm premiere 0.42m
Crime Investigations Australia 0.29m

The Block 0.97m (reveal winner 1.02m)
60 Minutes 0.57m


Monday October 12
Junior MasterChef Australia 0.55m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.68m
Drunk History Australia 0.33m

The Block 0.91m
RBT 0.41m

Border Security 0.41m / 0.39m
Movie: Crazy Rich Asians premiere 0.33m


Tuesday October 13
Junior MasterChef Australia 0.55m

The Block 0.89m
60 Minutes special: Maddie and the Monster premiere 0.44m

Jimmy Barnes: Working Class Boy Rpt 0.36m


Wednesday October 14
The Bachelorette 0.56m
The Masked Singer USA 0.29m

The Block 0.83m
Australian Crime Stories 0.34m

Highway Patrol Rpt 0.39m / 0.37m
Movie: Man of Steel Rpt 0.29m


Thursday October 15
The Bachelorette 0.49m
Gogglebox 0.57m

Home and Away triple episodes 0.53m
The Front Bar 0.34m


Friday October 16
AFL 1st preliminary final: Port Adelaide v Richmond
Seven 0.84m (Melbourne 0.63m + Adelaide 0.21m) + 7mate 0.252 m (Sydney 34,000 + Brisbane 58,000 + Perth 0.16m)
Better Homes and Gardens 0.51m

NRL 2nd preliminary final: Storm v Raiders
Nine 0.62m (Sydney 0.34m + Brisbane 0.19m + Melbourne 90,000) + 9Gem 16,000 (Adelaide 6,000 + Perth 10,000)

The Living Room 0.35m
The Graham Norton Show 0.31m


Saturday October 17
AFL 2nd preliminary final: Brisbane Lions v Geelong
Seven 1.04m (Melbourne 0.7m + Brisbane 0.2m + Adelaide 0.14m) + 7mate 0.155m (Sydney 35,000 + Perth 0.12m)
Movie: Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb Rpt 0.34m (Seven/7mate)
Movie: War for the Planet of the Apes Rpt 0.25m (Seven/7mate)

NRL 1st preliminary final: Panthers v Rabbitohs
Nine (Sydney 0.37m + Brisbane 0.18m) + 9Gem 63,000 (Melbourne 40,000 + Adelaide 9,000 + Perth 14,000)
Movie: Ghost Rpt 0.31m (Nine/9Gem)
Movie: Julie and Julia Rpt 0.18m (Nine/9Gem)

2 Likes

Now we know who’s playing in this year’s AFL & NRL Grand Finals, how are we expecting the television ratings to go?

With two Victorian based teams in the Grand Final and viewers who’d usually watch the game at restaurants, bars and the MCG this year having to settle for a TV viewing experience, surely there’ll be record ratings in Melbourne for this year’s AFL Grand Final?! Whether the figures will be so high in other states where there are less social distancing restrictions currently in place, I’m not sure. Certainly I’m not expecting the South East Queensland ratings to be as high as they may have been if the Lions made it.

As far as the NRL Grand Final is concerned, it’s the Minor Premiers playing for their first premiership in 17 years against the competition’s most successful club of the last 10-15 years. There’s probably not quite the same emotion to the story as there was in 2016, but try telling that to Penrith Panthers fans!

Sydney has some restrictions when it comes to how many will be able to attend the match at ANZ Stadium, but NSW bars & restaurants are still operating albeit with social distancing measures. I’d probably still expect higher television ratings for this year’s NRL Grand Final than what you’d expect during a non-pandemic year though. It’s inevitable that there’ll be massive hype amongst the Sydney media for the Penrith Panthers, while the Melbourne Storm are reasonably popular in Queensland unlike either team who played for last year’s premiership. These factors could be enough to result in near-2016 ratings for NRL Grand Final 2020.

4 Likes

Prediction for AFL Grand Final:

5-city total: 2.715m
Sydney: 385k
Melbourne: 1.4m
Brisbane: 390k
Adelaide: 245k
Perth: 295k

3 Likes

Predictions for Seven News viewing numbers that night:

(Keeping in mind that a 30 min news bulletin will air in all states except WA between the pre-game and first bounce. WA receive their news after the Grand Final presentations).

5-city: 1.63m
Sydney: 220k
Melbourne: 850k
Brisbane: 215k
Adelaide: 150k
Perth: 195k

Also keeping in mind that a lot of people will have their TV’s on Seven all day with horse racing on earlier in the day.

4 Likes

Nine News Sydney got 38k more viewers than Seven News Sydney on AFL Grand Final night last year…even though GWS played (and lost) that one.

This year with two Victorian teams in the AFL Grand Final…the actual match should receive OK ratings in Sydney but Nine will win the market at 6pm on October 24, when the minds of most residents in this metropolis are likely to be on the NRL Grand Final.

3 Likes

Sunday October 18
Massive day of sport culminating with the Brownlow tonight. Seven should win tonight but the Brownlow audience (particularly in Melbourne) will be lower than last year due to increased competition.

2020 Brownlow Medal 0.74m
Seven 0.6m (Melbourne 0.51m + Adelaide 90,000) + 7mate 0.14m (Sydney 25,000 + Brisbane 35,000 + Perth 80,000)
Movie: Aquaman premiere 0.34m

Supercheap Auto Bathurst 1000 race 0.89m
Supercheap Auto Bathurst 1000 podium 0.82m
Bledisloe Cup game 2: New Zealand v Australia 0.25m (10Bold)
Junior MasterChef 0.51m

Suncorp Super Netball grand final: Vixens v Fever 0.22m (Nine/9Gem)
The Block 0.93m (reveal winner 1.01m)
60 Minutes 0.54m

1 Like

18 October 2020
Today will be a huge day of sport with Bathurst 1000 races and the Brownlow Medal. SEven should win tonight, but the Brownlow Medal ratings will drop from last year
2020 Brownlow Medal - 731k
Movie: Aquaman Premiere - 344k
SANFL Grand Final - 101k (in Adelaide)

Supercheap Auto Bathurst 1000 race - 894k
Supercheap Auto Bathurst 1000 podium - 824k
Bledisloe Cup Game 2: NZ v AUS - 260k (10 Bold)
Junior Masterchef - 570k

Suncorp Super Netball Grand Final: Melbourne Vixens v West Coast Fever - 233k
The Block - 900k (reveal winner - 0.99m)
60 Mins - 555k

1 Like

There are 6 more rating weeks this year.

Seven will win this week due to AFL, while Nine will win next week + State of Origin weeks.

Weeks predicted to win:
Nine: at least 4 more weeks to win
Seven: at least 1 week to win
The last week will be undecided yet.

Overall, Nine can say that they have won this year too.

3 Likes

A big week coming up for Seven, with Brownlow, SAS launch and the Grand Final… Will they succeed? Or flop hard?

Brownlow on a Sunday night, odd, but could make for a bonanza. I reckon the loyal audience (including Foxtel not having simulcast rights anymore) and Melbourne still being locked-down will offset any major drop in ratings because of the night change and increased competition. I think there’s a lot of interest to see how this new set-up because of coronavirus will go, it’s been well promoted too.

Melbourne will still do 500-600k+ (which alone will win the night big for Seven), Adelaide and especially Perth could be interesting though. Brisbane may be well up due to Lions star Lachie Neale firm favourite to win.

The Block will be affected in Melbourne particularly.

Seven News and Nine News should be low, due to 10’s Bathurst, which will also be interesting.

Huge… Duh.

Monday October 19
Seven should win this week with its AFL Grand Final telecast, however it will want to at least win one night before Thursday. Its best hope is the debut of SAS tonight.

SAS: Australia series premiere 0.76m
The Rookie season premiere 0.36m / 0.28m

The Block 0.94m
RBT 0.39m

Junior MasterChef 0.51m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.66m
Drunk History Australia 0.30m


Tuesday October 20
SAS: Australia 0.75m
Movie: Rampage premiere 0.34m

The Block 0.83m
The Trump Show premiere 0.42m

Junior MasterChef 0.52m


Wednesday October 21
The Block 0.79m
Australian Crime Stories 0.37m

The Bachelorette 0.48m
The Masked Singer USA 0.22m

Highway Patrol Rpt 0.36m / 0.34m
Movie: Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice Rpt 0.25m


Thursday October 22
The Bachelorette 0.49m
Gogglebox 0.66m

Home and Away triple episodes 0.48m
The Front Bar grand final edition 0.36m

1 Like

A very rare Friday night coming up with no sport (unlike winter with AFL and NRL and much of summer with cricket and tennis), could be a ‘battle of the lifestyle shows and movies’.

Nine have an AFL-themed telethon again in those markets though, interesting to see if it has any impact.

Calm before the storm as I like to call it (no pun intended :wink:), with two days of Grand Finals ahead!

@JohnsonTV @TV.Cynic

2 Likes

24 October 2020
2020 afl gf will rate much higher than last year. Channel 7 will win the night easily thanks to AFL GF and telethon Perth.

AFL GF - Brunch - 330k
AFL GF - On the Ground 2m
AFL GF - Richmond v Geelong 2.8m
AFL GF - Presentations 2.2m
AFL GF - Post match - 1.65m
7news - 1.7m
Telethon - 170k (Perth)

Kinky Boots 230k

1 Like