2019 Ratings Predictions

Wednesday June 5.

State of Origin Game 1, Match: 1.92 Million (Sydney 950k, Melbourne 250k, Brisbane 600k, Adelaide 45k, Perth 75k)

Ratings will probably fall below the magic 2 million mark due to it not being played in Melbourne (so less incentives for viewers in the Victorian capital to tune in) and also because of the 9Now streams.

MasterChef or House Rules will probably be the night’s top show in the AFL cities.

5 June 2019
State of Origin will dip from last year but will still win the night for Nine thanks to 9Now streaming and people attending pubs on that night. MasterChef will however, take a slight dent in ratings.
State of Origin: 2.129m (880k in SYD, 350k in MEL, 650k in BNE, 100k in ADE, 149k in PER)
Pre Match: 900k
Post Match: 1.01m
MasterChef - 660k
House Rules - 667k

No 1 network = Nine (in all five cities)
No 1 demographics = Nine (in all five cities)

Thursday June 6
Nine will easily win the night with Australia playing in Cricket World Cup tonight.

Cricket World Cup: Australia v West Indies (9Gem) session 1 0.35m
RBT 0.45m
Paramedics rpt 0.39m
Kings Cross ER rpt 0.32m

MasterChef Australia 0.65m
MasterChef Australia: Masterclass 0.42m

Home and Away 0.63m
The Front Bar 0.48m
Britain’s Got Talent 0.41m

Sunday June 9
A sporting bonanza tonight and Nine will easily win the night. Seven and 10 will take a big hit.

The Voice 1.02m
60 Minutes 0.52m
Cricket World Cup: Australia v India session 1 (9Gem) 0.43m

House Rules 0.68m
Sunday Night 0.42m

MasterChef Australia 0.59m
FBI 0.22m

FIFA Women’s World Cup: Australia v Italy 0.22m
French Open: men’s singles final 0.19m

9 Jun 2019
Super Sunday of Sport!

Cricket World Cup - 455k
NRL Match - 377k (including on 9Gem)
AFL - 120k (on 7mate, though Perth will show the match on delayed telecast.
FIFA Women’s World Cup - Australia v Italy - 225k
French Open - 199k

Meanwhile, back to other shows.
The Voice - 1 million
House Rules - 600k
MasterChef - 602k
60 Minutes - 554k

1 Like

Monday June 10
Nine will win easily with The Voice.

The Voice 1.01m
Motown 60 - A Grammy Celebration premiere 0.35m

Monday afternoon AFL: Collingwood v Melbourne 0.59m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth) + 64,000 (Sydney and Brisbane)
House Rules 0.74m
9-1-1 season finale 0.42m

MasterChef Australia 0.68m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.66m

10 June 2019.
Seven will win over nine by a small margin thanks to the lead into News following afl.
AFL - 688k (including on 7mate)
7 News - 1.02m (with 500k in Melbourne)
The voice - 0.91m
Masterchef - 688k
House rules - 677k
Hybpa- 707k

2 Likes

Tuesday June 11
The Super Switch will flop on debut.

The Voice 0.97m
The Big Bang Theory new 0.54m

The Super Switch series premiere 0.54m
Andrew Denton: Interview 0.41m

MasterChef Australia 0.63m
Mr Black 0.38m

1 Like

Wednesday June 12
Nine should win the night with the cricket, although the weather may have a say.
Seven will be hoping ratings for The Super Switch will improve, otherwise it will have to take it off the 7.30pm timeslot.

Cricket World Cup: Australia v Pakistan session 1 (9Gem) 0.23m
Talkin’ 'Bout Your Generation 0.49m
20 to One 0.39m

The Super Switch 0.31m
The Front Bar 0.43m

MasterChef Australia 0.64m
Five Bedrooms 0.42m

1 Like

Thursday June 13
Seven should win the night with the AFL.

Thursday night AFL: Adelaide v Richmond 0.45m (Melbourne and Adelaide) + 0.11m (Sydney, Brisbane and Perth)
Home and Away 0.55m (Seven + 7TWO)
Britain’s Got Talent 0.39m / 0.35m (Seven + 7mate)

Thursday night NRL: Raiders v Sharks 0.39m (Sydney and Brisbane)

MasterChef Australia 0.66m
Taboo series premiere 0.42m


Saturday June 15
It will come down to the wire tonight. Whichever network wins tonight, wins the week.

Saturday night AFL: Carlton v Western Bulldogs 0.43m (Melbourne and Adelaide) + 0.12m (Sydney, Brisbane and Perth)
Movie: Ice Age rpt 0.35m (Seven + 7mate)
Movie: Unstoppable 0.28m (Seven + 7mate)

Cricket World Cup: Australia v Sri Lanka session 1 (9Gem) 0.31m
Movie: Toy Story rpt 0.34m
Movie: E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial rpt 0.29m

2 Likes

Can’t see how Nine won’t win tonight (great stuff on: Toy Story, ET, CWC and LOtR!) and probably therefore the week.

Did you see how much Nine lost Friday by? Nine need a big win on Saturday to win the week but given the huge shares the AFL generates, it’s unlikely that will happen.

EDIT: Guess I was right :stuck_out_tongue:

2 Likes

Sunday June 16
Nine will win easily tonight with The Voice and the cricket.

The Voice 1.11m
60 Minutes 0.64m
Cricket World Cup: India v Pakistan session 1 (9Gem) 0.16m

House Rules 0.71m
Sunday Night 0.54m
Code Blue: Murder premiere 0.29m

MasterChef Australia 0.61m
FBI new 0.29m

Monday June 17
The Voice 1.06m
Lip Sync Battle 0.43m / 0.35m

House Rules 0.71m
Movie: The Heat rpt 0.38m

MasterChef Australia 0.66m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.74m
Kinne Tonight 0.28m

1 Like

Tuesday June 18
The Madonna interview should attract a decent audience tonight.

Best of House Rules Countdown Special 0.51m
Andrew Denton’s Interview 0.55m

The Voice 0.98m
The Big Bang Theory new 0.59m
The Big Bang Theory rpt 0.45m

MasterChef Australia 0.65m
Mr Black season finale 0.32m / 0.28m


Wednesday June 19
The Super Switch 0.35m
The Front Bar 0.43m

Cricket World Cup: New Zealand v South Africa session 1 (9Gem) 0.16m
Talkin’ 'Bout Your Generation 0.46m
20 to One 0.37m

MasterChef Australia 0.63m
Five Bedrooms 0.44m

20 June 2019.
It will be an easy win for Channel Seven tonight thanks to AFL. 7mate will have a strong primetime share in Perth over 9Gem, TEN, Nine, Seven, ABC and SBS.
AFL - 608k
Cricket - Australia v Bangladesh - 344k
Masterchef Australia - 600k

1 Like

Thursday June 20
I think Nine will win (just) thanks to the cricket. The AFL will beat the cricket in Perth though as West Coast are playing.

Cricket World Cup: Australia v Bangladesh (9Gem) session 1 0.35m
RBT 0.43m
Paramedics rpt 0.35m
Kings Cross ER rpt 0.22m

MasterChef Australia 0.64m
Taboo 0.31m

Thursday night AFL: West Coast v Essendon 0.42m (Melbourne and Adelaide) + 0.22m (Sydney, Brisbane and Perth)
Home and Away 0.51m (Seven + 7TWO)
Britain’s Got Talent 0.31m (Seven + 7mate)

22 June 2019
Seven will have an easy win thanks to the AFL.
AFL - 566k (including on 7mate)
International Rugby League Tests - 199k (on 9Gem!)
Toy Story II - 490k

1 Like

Sunday June 23
The first State of Origin match from Perth will be huge. It could even beat Seven News in Perth.

State of Origin game 2 pre-match 1.24m
State of Origin game 2 match 2.15m
State of Origin game 2 post-match 1.01m

House Rules 0.66m
Sunday Night 0.43m

MasterChef Australia 0.58m
FBI new 0.22m

1 Like

23 June 2019.
Masterchef will be a waste tonight as Origin will easily win, especially in Perth

  • Origin - 2.129 million (with 200k in Perth)
  • Masterchef - 506k
  • House rules - 599k
  • Sunday Night - 344k