Friday February 2
It will be pretty close between cricket and AFLW in Adelaide and Melbourne. MKR encores will drag down Seven’s shares however.
Better Homes and Gardens season premiere 0.64m (Seven) + 0.16 (7TWO)
AFLW: Carlton v Collingwood 0.36m (Melbourne and Adelaide) + 0.15m (Sydney, Brisbane and Perth)
My Kitchen Rules encores 0.24m
BBL semi final 2: Strikers v Renegades (Ten/One)
session 1: 0.71m
session 2: 0.85m
Vet on the Hill 0.33m
Movie: Miss Congeniality rpt 0.32m
Sunday February 4
The BBL final will lift Ten’s early evening ratings but Seven will narrowly win.
WBBL final: Sixers v Scorchers
session 1: 0.25m
session 2: 0.31m
BBL final preview show 0.44m
BBL final: Strikers v Hurricanes
session 1: 0.89m
session 2: 0.96m
post-match (One): 0.16m
I’m a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here 0.78m
SEAL Team 0.43m
I expect MKR to be massive (given the promos for tonight and judging on comparative nights previously), I’ll say 1.3m, therefore helping Seven to win with news and a classic movie.
BBL final will again be down (I think 900k session 2), disappointing, 1.5m a couple of years ago. Ten’s shares will be well up though, combined with I’m A Celebrity (900k also I reckon)
Nine will also do very well, but I don’t think they’ll win nor will Married be on top (probably 1m).
I think Seven News will win narrowly, thanks to Adelaide and especially Perth.
Seven’s movie will rate well, older audiences, 450k. Nine’s premiere should also do well, younger audiences and a little lower lead-in than Seven I think, 425k.
Seven will have a big win, with the MKR + Good Doctor combo…
No. 1 network: Seven
No. 1 main channel: Ch 7
•My Kitchen Rules: 1.1m
•The Good Doctor: 1m
•Married At First Sight: 850k
•I’m A Celebrity: 775k
•Hughesy We Have A Problem: 600k
•One Night With My Ex: 450k
Thursday February 8
Anthony Mundine quitting I’m a Celebrity generated a lot of buzz online this morning, Ten will be hoping it will translate to good ratings for tonight’s episode. Ten should also be boosted by the return of Gogglebox. However Nine will win the night with Seven finishing third again without MKR.
Married at First Sight 0.89m
Movie: Hot Pursuit premiere 0.43m
I’m a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here 0.76m
Gogglebox season premiere 0.73m
Blue Bloods season premiere 0.24m
Home and Away (four episodes) 0.58m
The Front Bar winter special 0.46m
Friday February 9
Could this be one of the lowest rated opening ceremonies of Winter Olympic Games (at least in Australia)? It hasn’t attracted much buzz like Sochi four years ago.
Pyeongchang Olympic Winter Games: day 0 0.25m
Better Homes and Gardens (Seven/7TWO) 0.64m
Pyeongchang Olympic Winter Games: Countdown to Opening Ceremony (Seven/7mate) 0.46m
Pyeongchang Olympic Winter Games: Opening Ceremony 0.35m
The Living Room season premiere 0.55m
The Graham Norton Show 0.42m
Saturday February 10
It will be very close between Seven and Nine today and it will come down to multichannels. Nine (with its coverage of last international cricket match of summer) will easily beat Seven (Winter Olympics) in primary channels. Ten will again be decimated.
Twenty/20 cricket game 3: Australia v England 0.91m
Winter Olympics day 1 afternoon 0.34m
Winter Olympics day 1 night (Seven/7mate) 0.65m
AFLW: Fremantle v Collingwood 50,000 (Seven Perth) + 60,000 (7mate Sydney, Melbourne, Adelaide)
Agree with Johnson, massive day/night of sport, it’ll be close tonight.
Ch 7 will pick-up late night share in Syd and Melb & more share in Bris and especially Per where they are hour(s) behind, but telecast runs until 1am AEDT.
Cricket will win Melbourne, it’ll be neck-and-neck in Sydney.
Multi-channels might indeed be the deciding factor, as well as how good the cricket game is.
It’s another massive Sunday and it’ll be a close one between Seven and Nine.
I actually don’t think the telemovie on Nine will rate that big, given all recent ones, Molly the last one that was huge in February 2016 (2m+ metro consolidated).
With what I just said above, I think Seven’s combo of news + MKR + Olympics will push them over the line, plus all the promotion for MKR and Olympics during day, upsetting Nine’s big night (I acknowledge I could be very wrong).