2017 Ratings Predictions

Friday the 1st of December 2017

Seven will have an easy win, thanks to BHG and the latest Star Wars movie repeat…

No. 1 network: Seven

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7

•Better Homes and Gardens: 725k
•The Living Room: 550k
•Graham Norton: 525k
•“Star Wars - The Force Awakens” (movie - Ch 7): 475k
•The Embassy: 350k
•“Shooter” (movie - Ch 9): 300k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7mate

Friday December 1
Better Homes and Gardens season finale 0.62m
Movie: Star Wars: The Force Awakens rpt 0.34m

The Embassy 0.36m
Movie: Shooter rpt 0.35m

The Living Room season finale 0.51m
The Graham Norton Show 0.48m

Saturday the 2nd of December 2017

A massive day of TV, with the RLWC final and historic day/night Ashes on (and unfortunately head-to-head, splitting the audience).

It’ll be very close between Seven and Nine, with larger RLWC audiences in Syd and Bris, broadcast until late night & cricket out of prime-time in Per pushing Seven over the line.

No. 1 network: Seven (just)

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7 (just)

•RLWC - Final (AUS vs. ENG): 1.17m
[Ch 7 Syd: 475k + Melb: 225k + Bris: 350k + 7mate Adel: 45k + Per: 75k]

•Ashes - Second Test, Day 1 (Session 3): 1.13m
•Ashes - Second Test, Day 1 (Session 2): 925k
•Ashes - Second Test, Day 1 (Session 1): 725k

•David Attenborough: 250k
•All Star Family Feud: 275k
•SVU: 325k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7mate?

Saturday December 2
They save the best till last don’t they? For the first time since mid 2009, live rugby league will be up against live cricket on rival networks. The weather will have a say though, with showers forecast for Adelaide during the first day of the historic day/night Ashes test. The ratings for the night session will be affected but it should edge out RLWC final.

Australian PGA Championship day 3 0.12m
Women’s Rugby League World Cup final: Australia v New Zealand 0.26m (7mate)
Rugby League World Cup final: Australia v England
Seven 0.87m (Sydney 0.35m + Melbourne 0.20m + Brisbane 0.32m) + 7mate 70,000 (Adelaide 25,000 + Perth 45,000)

Second Ashes test session 1 0.64m
Second Ashes test session 2 0.79m
Second Ashes test session 3 0.91m

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Just a message from me, I won’t be doing predictions during summer non-ratings.

Once again, it’s been a fun, interesting and a year full of surprises, highlights and disappointments. Many predictions were correct, close or no where near, myself included :smile:

One thing’s for sure, there were far more ‘low rating’ nights than the previous year, indicative of the declining television industry, watch this space, sadly.

Enjoy the break from official survey (that’s if you’re not continuing here for the next few months) and Merry Christmas :wave: :christmas_tree:

Particular thanks to @JohnsonTV & @Super_SC.

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Because there’s ratings numbers for every day of the year regardless of whether or not the networks really pay attention to them, I personally think this thread (and the discussion in it) should be allowed to continue until December 31 after which point a “2018 Ratings Predictions” thread would theoretically be made…but that’s just me.

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Or, the year could be removed from the title of this topic and it could continue next year.

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Thank you Luke, I will still be doing predictions during the summer non-ratings, but not every day.
With a number of programs rested, cricket will dominate today and tomorrow.

Sunday December 3
Second Ashes test session 1 0.76m
Second Ashes test session 2 0.83m
Second Ashes test session 3 1.04m
60 Minutes 0.55m

Sunday Night summer 0.54m
Movie: Robin Hood rpt 0.36m

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Tuesday December 5
The Good Doctor faces its biggest test so far as it comes up against the cricket tonight. It will be very close in both total people and demos.

Second Ashes test session 1 0.62m
Second Ashes test session 2 0.87m
Second Ashes test session 3 1.12m

Border Patrol season premiere 0.53m
Air Rescue season premiere 0.62m
The Good Doctor mid season finale 1.04m
Special: Menin Gate Lions premiere 0.35m

Jamie Oliver’s Christmas Cookbook rpt 0.37m
NCIS 0.41m
NCIS: Los Angeles rpt 0.36m

7 Dec 2017
It will be a very quiet night of TV, but Seven still wins for the night.

HAA - 577k
The Project - 400k/320k (6:30PM)
Cram - 211k
Worlds Deadliest Weather - 334k
RBT - 344k
20 to 1 - 200k
Law & Order SVU - 198k

Saturday December 9
It’s family movies v women’s cricket tonight. Minions will win its timeslot but Seven should win the night (just).

Movie: Frozen rpt 0.45m
Movie: Willy Wonka and the Chocolate Factory rpt 0.37m

Trolls Holiday Special premiere 0.55m (except Brisbane)
Christmas Live in Brisbane premiere 0.16m (Brisbane only)
Movie: Minions premiere 0.62m
Movie: The Other Guys rpt 0.27m

WBBL: Renegades v Thunder 0.18m / 0.25m
WBBL: Sixers v Stars 0.35m / 0.43m

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Thursday December 14
Third Ashes test session 1 0.63m
Third Ashes test session 2 0.84m
Third Ashes test session 3 1.21m
Forged in Fire series premiere 0.54m

Home and Away triple episode 0.59m
World’s Deadliest Weather: Caught on Camera 0.47m
The Grand Tour 0.32m

CRAM season finale 0.29m
Law & Order: SVU rpts 0.31m / 0.28m

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Friday December 16
Third Ashes test session 1 0.74m
Third Ashes test session 2 0.86m
Third Ashes test session 3 1.02m
Forged in Fire part 2 0.54m

Better Homes and Gardens: Countdown to Christmas 0.54m
Movie: Journey 2: The Mysterious Island rpt 0.42m

The Living Room Summer Edition 0.42m
The Graham Norton Show 0.41m
Bruno Mars: 24K Magic Live at the Apollo premiere 0.32m

Saturday December 17
Third Ashes test session 1 0.81m
Third Ashes test session 2 0.94m
Third Ashes test session 3 1.1m
Forged in Fire part 3 0.61m

Victorian State Schools Spectacular premiere 0.21m (Melbourne)
NSW Schools Spectacular premiere 0.36m

Dec 16 2017
Channel 9 will score runs thanks to the Ashes.
S1 Ashes: 774k
S2 Ashes: 889k
S3 Ashes: 1.04m
News: 995k
Cricket Show: 599k
Forged in Fire P3: 598k
Vic States Schools Spectacular Premiere: 200k (Mel)
NSW Schools Spectacular: 338k

Sunday December 17
Showers will affect today’s play at the cricket which in turn could harm Nine’s ratings.

Third Ashes test session 1 0.72m
Third Ashes test session 2 0.77m
Third Ashes test session 3 0.93m
60 Minutes summer 0.54m

Sunday Night summer 0.61m
Woolworths Carols in the Domain premiere 0.71m

Bull 0.28m
Wisdom of the Crowd 0.29m / 0.25m

Monday December 18
Rain delayed the start of the cricket today, but failed to prevent the Aussies from beating England. The extended second session should rate well.

Third Ashes test session 1 0.32m (washed out)
Third Ashes test session 2 0.76m
Movie: Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol rpt 0.43m

Home and Away season finale 0.62m
Criminal Minds 0.42m
Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders 0.28m

All Star Family Feud rpt 0.34m
Movie: Good Will Hunting rpt 0.29m

2017-2018 BBL cricket opener (Session 1): 900k

Ten will absolutely dominate.

19 Dec 2017
Channel TEN will score runs thanks to the opening game of the BBL07 season.
Thunder v Sixers - 900k (with 300k in Sydney)

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Tuesday December 19
BBL: Thunder v Sixers (Ten/One)
session 1 0.76m
session 2 0.91m

Border Patrol 0.54m / 0.58m
Air Rescue 0.53m
Criminal Minds 0.39m
The Grand Tour 0.27m

The Big Bang Theory rpt 0.61m / 0.58m
Movie: Meet the Parents rpt 0.34m

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