2017 Ratings Predictions

Tuesday November 21
Instant Hotel 0.59m
The Good Doctor 1.1m
Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders 0.41m

Family Food Fight 0.55m
The Big Bang Theory 0.51m
Kath & Kim Kountdown “the Glitz & The Glama” 0.37m

Jamie’s Quick & Easy Food 0.39m
NCIS 0.42m
NCIS: Los Angeles 0.32m

Instant Hotel: 700k

The Secret Daughter: 600k

Jurassic World premiere: 525k

Wednesday November 22
Instant Hotel 0.58m
The Secret Daughter 0.48m / 0.42m

Family Food Fight 0.54m
Movie: Jurassic World premiere 0.43m (except Perth)
Movie: The Expendables 3 rpt 40,000 (Perth)

Jamie’s Super Food rpt 0.35m
Law & Order: SVU rpt 0.33m
Sisters 0.21m

Soccer: Australian Matildas v China 60,000 (Viceland)

1 Like

The Good Doctor: 1m

First Day 'Gabba on Nov 25 2010 had 1.06m, but appeared to be one coding

Ashes - First Test (Session 3): 950k

Ashes - First Test (Session 2): 700k

Ashes - First Test (Session 1): 525k

Thursday November 23
The cricket will do very well in daytime. Seven will narrowly win the night, with The Good Doctor and Nine News cancelling each other out.

First Ashes test: session 1 0.43m
First Ashes test: session 2 0.54m
First Ashes test: session 3 0.81m
RBT rpt 0.61m may not air in Sydney and Melbourne due to cricket overrun
Special: The Family Manson 0.35m

Australian Open golf day 1 0.16m
Home and Away triple episodes 0.62m
The Good Doctor 0.97m

CRAM 0.43m
Gogglebox season finale 0.62m

Out of prime-time, obviously as always, so not sure that comment it even required.

That’s not how it works, though good prediction thinking.

Because Seven News will still be one of the biggest programs of the night, though outrated by Nine News (i.e.) close.

Whereas it’s daylight between The Good Doctor and whatever is on the other networks.

Thus, pushing Ch 7’s share high.

1 Like

Friday the 23rd of November 2017

Seven will get a massive win, with a RLWC semi-final + BHG…

No. 1 network: Seven

No. 1 multi-channel: Ch 7

•RLWC - SF (AUS v FIJ): 880k
[Ch 7 Syd: 375k + Melb: 150k + Bris: 275k + 7mate Adel: 30k + Per: 50k]

•Ashes - Day 2 (Session 3): 900k
•Ashes - Day 2 (Session 2): 650k
•Ashes - Day 2 (Session 1): 450k

•Better Homes and Gardens (Ch 7 + 7Two): 675k
•Graham Norton: 450k
•The Living Room: 475k
•The Embassy: 375k
•“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1” (movie - Ch 9): 350k

No. 1 multi-channel: 9Go!

Friday November 24
Seven will win the night easily thanks to RLWC semi final.

First Ashes test: session 1 0.45m
First Ashes test: session 2 0.55m
First Ashes test: session 3 0.76m
The Embassy 0.33m (except Brisbane)
Christmas with the Australian Women’s Weekly premiere 80,000 (Brisbane)
Movie: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows part 1 rpt 0.36m

Australian Open golf day 2 120,000
Rugby League World Cup 2017 semi final: Australia v Fiji
Seven 0.76m (Sydney 0.34m + Melbourne 0.18m + Brisbane 0.24m) + 7mate 75,000 (Adelaide 30,000 + Perth 45,000)
Better Homes and Gardens 0.51m (Seven + 7TWO Brisbane)
Movie: Jersey Boys rpt 0.12m (Adelaide and Perth)

The Living Room 0.48m
The Graham Norton Show rpt 0.38m

1 Like

Saturday November 25
A smorgasbord of live sport this afternoon but cricket will come on top. Coverage of Queensland state election will skew the ratings of Seven, Nine and ABC News.

First Ashes test: session 1 0.52m
First Ashes test: session 2 0.66m
First Ashes test: session 3 0.84m
Christmas with the Australian Women’s Weekly premiere 0.39m (except Brisbane)
Movie: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows part 2 rpt 0.43m (Nine + 9GO! Brisbane)

Australian Open golf day 3 0.22m
Rugby League World Cup 2017 semi final: Tonga v England 0.31m (7mate)
Movie: The Amazing Spider-man 2 rpt 0.46m (except Brisbane)
Movie: The Incredible Hulk rpt 0.36m (except Brisbane)

Supercars Newcastle 500 day 2 race 0.37m

It’ll be a very close night, disrupted in Brisbane by the QLD State Election, Nine should win with cricket promotion / lead-in.

Sunday the 26th of November 2017

It’ll be closer between Seven & Nine, due to The Wall finishing and cricket promotion/lead-in, however I think Seven will still win thanks to the always popular Christmas flick “Love Actually” (2003) and SN at an earlier time…

No. 1 network: Seven (just)

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7 (just)

•Ashes - Day 4 (Session 3): 725k
•Ashes - Day 4 (Session 2): 575k
•Ashes - Day 4 (Session 1): 425k

•Sunday Night: 875k
•60 Minutes: 675k
•Friday On My Mind: 600k
•Family Food Fight: 575k
•“Love Actually” (movie - Ch 7): 525k
•Bull: 325k
•Wisdom of the Crowd: 275k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7mate or 9Go!

Sunday November 26
The cricket lead-in will be the difference between Seven and Nine.

First Ashes test: session 1 0.56m
First Ashes test: session 2 0.64m
First Ashes test: session 3 0.83m
Family Food Fight 0.61m
60 Minutes 0.71m

Australian Golf day 4 0.21m
Sunday Night 0.63m
Movie: Love Actually rpt 0.54m

Supercars Newcastle 500 day 3 0.34m
Bull 0.29m
Wisdom of the Crowd 0.31m

Monday the 27th of November 2017

Despite the FFF finale, it’s performed disappointingly and won’t rate big, Seven should win the night overall…

No. 1 network: Seven

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7 (just)

•HYBPA: 650k
•Family Food Fight - finale: 625k
•Instant Hotel: 575k
•Criminal Minds - episode 1: 450k
•All Star Family Feud: 425k
•Criminal Minds - episode 2: 375k
•“Burnt” (movie premiere - Ch 9): 350k

Monday November 27
Family Food Fight finale should rate OK but Seven will still win the night.

First Ashes test: session 1 0.23m
Family Food Fight grand final 0.62m
Movie: Burnt premiere 0.35m

All Star Family Feud 0.45m
Have You Been Paying Attention? season finale 0.76m
Man with a Plan 0.34m

Instant Hotel 0.56m
Criminal Minds season premiere 0.42m
Criminal Minds ep2 0.34m

1 Like

The Good Doctor: 1.25m

Tuesday November 28
Instant Hotel grand final part 1 0.59m
The Good Doctor 1.2m
Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders 0.42m

ARIA Awards 2017 0.45m (will do well in demos)
Harry Styles Live in Manchester premiere 0.28m

Jamie’s Night Before Christmas rpt 0.33m
NCIS 0.37m
NCIS: Los Angeles 0.31m

1 Like

Wednesday November 29
Not sure if it’s a good idea for Nine to air a lingerie fashion show right after a kids talent show :thinking:
Seven will be hoping for good ratings for the finales of Instant Hotel and The Secret Daughter.

Instant Hotel grand final part 2 0.68m
The Secret Daughter season finale 0.59m / 0.48m

The Voice Kids UK series premiere 0.54m
Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show 2017 premiere 0.33m

CRAM! 0.42m
Law & Order: SVU rpt 0.31m
Sisters 0.18m

1 Like

Terrible night of TV, apart from The Secret Daughter.

30 nov 17
Cram - 298k
Home and away - 556k
Rbt- 433k
Elton john special - 355k

Terrible night of TV, a switch off.

Curious to see how the Elton John special rates.

Expect multi-channels to again be high.