2017 Ratings Predictions

TV Ratings General Ratings Discussion
610

Monday the 25th of September 2017

Seven will have a massive win, thanks to the Brownlow Medal (nothing unusual there).

It should be even bigger in Melbourne, as Foxtel no longer have simulcast rights (averaged over 200k past 5 years) + Dusty Martin tipped to win for Richmond…

No. 1 network: Seven

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7

•AFL - Brownlow Medal: 1.1m
[Ch 7 Melb: 700k + Adel: 150k + Per: 150k + 7mate Syd: 50k + Bris: 50k]

•The Block: 1.1m (will be down in Melb)
•HYBPA: 700k (will be down in Melb)
•Survivor: 550k (will be down in Melb)
•Highway Patrol (Syd + Bris only): 350k
•“Four Weddings and a Funeral” (movie - Ch 9): 325k

Not sure what’s airing on Ch 7 in Syd & Bris post 8:30pm

No. 1 multi-channel: 7Two or 7mate?

611

Monday September 26
It is all about the Brownlow tonight. Given Dustin Martin is almost certain to win, the interest will be the winning margin.

Brownlow Medal red carpet 0.45m (Melbourne and Adelaide) + 110,000 (Sydney, Brisbane and Perth)
2017 Brownlow Medal
Seven 840,000 (Melbourne 610,000 + Adelaide 110,000 + Perth 120,000) + 7mate 45,000 (Sydney 20,000 + Brisbane 25,000)
Highway Patrol rpt 0.32m (Sydney and Brisbane)
Movie: Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation rpt 0.25m (Sydney and Brisbane)

The Block 1.24m
Movie: Four Weddings and a Funeral rpt 0.45m)

Australian Survivor 0.61m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.71m

1 Like
612

25 Sep 2017

Seven will steal the night thanks to the Brownlow Medal.
Home and Away - 499k (except Perth, Adelaide)
Brownlow Medal - 1.23m (including 7mate)
The Block - 1.08m
Survivor - 554k
Highway Patrol (SYD + BNE) - 355k
4 Weddings & a Funeral - 330k

No 1 Network: Seven
No 1 Primary Channel: Seven
No 1 Multichannel: 7mate

1 Like
613

Tuesday September 26
The Block 1.23m
The Big Bang Theory 0.78m
Kath & Kim rpt 0.46m / 0.38m

First Dates 0.64m
800 Words 0.61m

Australian Survivor 0.62m
NCIS rpt 0.41m
NCIS: Los Angeles rpt 0.32m

1 Like
614

27 September 2017
The first episode of Cannonball will start off on a high, although some viewers will turn off during this show.

  • Cannonball - 1.02m
  • talking footy - 303k
  • the block - 1.12m
  • Doctor Doctor - 655k
  • Bachelorette - 870k
  • Gruene - 722k
3 Likes
615

Wednesday the 27th of September 2017

It’ll be a very competitive night.

Cannonball should be massive on debut & Talking Footy on Seven’s main channel should do well, picking-up non-regular viewers…

No. 1 network: Seven (just)

No. 1 main channel: Ch 9 (just)

•Cannonball (series premiere): 1.25m
•The Block: 1m
•The Bachelorette: 925k
•Gruen: 850k
•Doctor Doctor: 675k
•Criminal Minds: 425k (later in 3 markets)
•Talking Footy - GF edition (Melb + Adel + Per): 300k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7Two or 7mate

616

Wednesday September 27
Seven will pin its hopes on Cannonball. I personally think it will flop.

Cannonball series premiere 0.55m
Talking Footy - grand final edition 0.36m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
Criminal Minds 0.43m

The Bachelorette 0.84m
Movie: Aloha rpt 0.29m

The Block 1.14m
Doctor Doctor 0.68m

2 Likes
617

28 Sep 2017
Afl gf footy show will take a dive but nine will storm home with a win tonight
Afl footy show - 521k (melbourne, Adelaide & Perth)
Bachelorette - 777k
Nrl gf footy show - 303k (syd, bne)
The wrong girl - 388k
Cannonball - 356k
Front bar - 350k
Footy funniest - 244k

618

Thursday September 28
Nine will have a big win with the grand final edition of the Footy Shows. The most interesting battle will be in Melbourne where Footy’s Funniest and The Front Bar come up against The AFL Footy Show.

AFL Footy Show 0.51m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
NRL Footy Show 0.35m (Sydney and Brisbane)

Footy’s Funniest part 2 0.36m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
The Front Bar 0.35m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
Tiny Tots Make You Laugh Out Loud 0.28m (Sydney and Brisbane)

The Bachelorette 0.84m
The Wrong Girl 0.41m

619

If The Footy Show doesn’t beat The Front Bar tonight, total embarrassment :confused:

620

Friday the 29th of September 2017

Grand Final fever will give Seven an easy win (being the night before)…

No. 1 network: Seven

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7

•Better Homes & Gardens: 750k
•The Living Room: 550k
•“Get Hard” (movie premiere - Ch 7 + 7mate): 430k
•“Goldeneye” (movie - Ch 9): 410k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7mate or 9Go!

621

Saturday the 30th of September 2017

Seven and indeed TV’s biggest day of the year.

All about the Grand Final which will be enormous, I reckon higher than last year & close to an OzTam record (certainly in Adelaide and maybe in Melbourne), so much hype and euphoria, two years in a row!

Providing (as usual) a bumper lead-in to their prime-time…

No. 1 network: Seven (90%+ afternoon share)

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7

•AFL - Grand Final (ADEL vs. RICH): 3.2m
[Ch 7 Syd: 425k + Melb: 1.5m + Bris: 380k + Adel: 525k + Per: 375k] + 1.1m regional

•AFL Grand Final - Post Match: 2.3m

•AFL Grand Final - On The Ground: 2.2m

•AFL Grand Final - Pre Match Entertainment: 1.2m

•AFL Grand Final - Preview: 500k

•AFL Grand Final - Game Day: 350k

•Seven News: 1.7m (875k in Melbourne, 300k in Adelaide)

•“Indiana Jones and the Raiders of the Lost Ark” (movie - Ch 7): 650k

•“ET” (movie premiere - Ch 9): 350k

•“47 Ronin” (movie - Ch 7): 305k

•“Kindergarten Cop” (movie premiere - Ch 9): 275k

•David Attenborough (double ep): 250k

•Gold Coast Cops (double ep): 225k

•Territory Cops: 205k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7mate

•AFL Grand Final - Post Game Show: 350k

622

30 Sep 2017
Channel 7’s biggest day of the year thanks to AFL Grand Final. I hope that the program will overtake the 2005 grand final JUST. Boy oh boy wowee! That will be a new record for the Seven Network!
No 1 Network: Seven (96% afternoon share)
No 1 Main Channel: Seven

AFL GF - Adelaide v Richmond - 3.413m (Syd: 444k, Mel: 1.602m, BNE: 420k, Ade: 533k, Per: 411k)+ 1.4m regional
AFL GF - Presentations: 3.132m (Syd: 400k, Mel: 1.508m, BNE: 371k, Ade: 494k, Per: 360k)
AFL GF - Post Match: 2.303m
AFL GF - On the Ground: 2.14m
AFL GF - Entertainment: 1.44m
AFL GF - Preview: 565k
AFL GF - Game Day: 360k
Weekend Sunrise: 300k
Seven News: 1.87m (Syd: 224k, Mel: 935k, BNE: 244k, Ade: 303k, Per: 167k)
Indiana Jones: 630k
Kindergarten Cop: 255k
David Attenborough: 220k
GC Cops: 212k
Territory Cops: 210k
Rugby Union: SA v AUS: 44k (due to late night/midnight coverage in Australia)

1 Like
623

Saturday September 30
I also think the GF will hit 3 million if it is a close game. Nevertheless it should exceed the audience watching State of Origin this year.

AFL Grand Final: Adelaide v Richmond
2.98 million (Sydney 0.32m + Melbourne 1.5m + Brisbane 0.31m + Adelaide 0.51m + Perth 0.34m)
AFL GF - Presentations 2.87m
AFL GF - Post Match 2.3m (plus 450,000 on 7mate for concert)
AFL GF - On the Ground 2.1m
AFL GF - Pre Match Entertainment 1.47m
AFL GF - Preview 0.52m
AFL GF - Game Day 0.35m

Movie: Raiders of the Lost Ark rpt 0.65m (still think FTA premiere of a Disney movie will get more viewers)
Movie: 47 Ronin rpt 0.32m

Riverfire 0.34m (Brisbane)
Movie: ET rpt 0.41m
Movie: Kindergarten Cop rpt 0.34m

1 Like
624

Australian Open Men’s Final is actually the program to beat so far this year, at around 2.7m. :+1:

625

1 oct 2017
Nine will storm home thanks to NRL GF.

Holden Cup: 250k
State Championships: 550k
NRL GF Pre-Match performance: 1.44m
NRL GF Melbourne v North QLD: 2.574m (Syd: 900k, Mel: 700k, BNE: 750k, Ade: 104k, Per: 120k)
NRL GF Presentations: 2.22m
Nine News Sunday: 1.33m (overruns in Perth will be adjusted once it consolidates)
Little Big Shots: 899k
Sunday Project: 280k

No 1 network: Nine
No 1 Primary network: Nine

626

Sunday October 1
NRL grand final will be huge.

Holden Cup final 0.26m (Sydney and Brisbane)
State Championship final 0.45m (Sydney and Brisbane)
NRL Grand Final pre-match entertainment 1.15m
NRL Grand Final: Melbourne v North Queensland
2.53 million (Sydney 0.97m + Melbourne 0.61m + Brisbane 0.72m + Adelaide 0.11m + Perth 0.12m)
NRL Grand Final - Post Match 1.45m

Little Big Shots 0.67m
Sunday Night 0.54m
Movie: Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation premiere 0.36m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
Movie: Fifty Shades of Grey rpt 0.21m (Sydney and Brisbane)

The Sunday Project 0.27m / 0.33m
Movie: The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel rpt 0.32m

1 Like
627

The NRL Grand Final will be well down on last year’s ratings here in Sydney, but should still blow everything else out of the water nonetheless.

My prediction for the metro ratings of the match: 2.29 million (Sydney 850k, Melbourne 500k, Brisbane 750k, Adelaide 80k, Perth 110k)

2 Likes
628

NRL Grand Final: 2m

629

Monday October 2
So many new programs tonight!

The Block 1.45m
Law & Order True Crime: The Menendez Murders series premiere 0.64m
Chicago Justice series premiere 0.32m

Manhunt series premiere 0.71m
Highway Patrol 0.67m / 0.62m
Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders season premiere 0.29m

Australian Survivor 0.62m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.71m
Man with a Plan series premiere 0.26m

1 Like