2017 Ratings Predictions

22 Sep 2017
Seven will dominate thanks to AFL coverage.
AFL - 1.14 million (including on 7Mate)
NRL - 804k (including on 9Gem
Better Homes and Gardens - 767k
The Living Room - 445k
HYBPA - 344k
Vet on the Hill - 104k (Adelaide, Perth)

No 1 Multichannel - 7mate

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Friday September 22
I agree with Luke that AFL will be huge in Melbourne, trampling the NRL.

AFL 1st preliminary final: Adelaide v Geelong
Seven 1.13m (Melbourne 830,000 + Adelaide 300,000) + 7mate 190,000 (Sydney 26,000 + Brisbane 24,000 + Perth 140,000)
Better Homes and Gardens 0.62m
Movie: Angels and Demons rpt 0.24m (Sydney, Brisbane and Perth)

NRL 1st preliminary final: Storm v Broncos
Nine 860,000 (Sydney 400,000 + Melbourne 70,000 + Brisbane 390,000) + 9Gem 20,000 (Adelaide 6,000 + Perth 14,000)

The Living Room 0.42m
Have You Been Paying Attention encore 0.36m

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Saturday the 23rd of September 2017

Seven will have another massive win, even though the footy is only partly in prime-time.

The Prelim Final will be gigantic in Melbourne!

Seven News should be huge…

No. 1 network: Seven

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7

•AFL - 2nd Preliminary Final (RICH vs. GWS):
[Ch 7 Melb: 800k + Adel: 195k + Per: 175k + 7mate Syd: 125k + Bris: 60k + Fox Footy simulcast: 550k new record]

•NRL Preliminary Final (Syd + Bris): 650k
•“Dirty Dancing” (movie - Ch 10): 275k
•“Spongebob Movie” (Ch 7 + 7mate): 275k
•“Evan Almighty” (movie - Ch 7 + 7mate): 250k
•“What Happens In Vegas” (movie - Ch 9): 200k
•“Rebound” (movie - Ch 9): 175k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7mate (just)

23/9/2017
Seven will drive home to a huge win thanks to afl.
Afl - 1.36m (including on 7mate)
Nrl - 789k (including on gem)
SpongeBob SquarePants - 344k
Dirty dancing 244k
Gold Coast cops - 266k
Evan almighty - 250k
What happens in Vegas - 239k

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Saturday September 23
Seven and Nine will be hoping today’s preliminary finals will be more competitive after one-sided results last night. Richmond v GWS will be huge in Melbourne (just hope the right Tigers team turn up). Could a new pay TV ratings record for an AFL match be set today also?

AFL 2nd preliminary final: Richmond v GWS
Seven 1.23m (Melbourne 850,000 + Adelaide 200,000 + Perth 180,000) + 7mate 110,000 (Sydney 70,000 + Brisbane 40,000)
Movie: SpongeBob Squarepants Movie premiere 0.45m (Sydney, Brisbane and Perth)
Movie: Evan Almighty rpt 0.41m

NRL 2nd preliminary final: Roosters v Cowboys
Nine 680,000 (Sydney 330,000 + Brisbane 350,000) + 9Gem 35,000 (Melbourne 20,000 + Adelaide 5,000 + Perth 10,000)
Movie: What Happens in Vegas rpt 0.32m
Movie: Rebound rpt 0.19m

Gold Coast Cops rpt 0.26m
Movie: Dirty Dancing rpt 0.24m

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School holidays may affect things :sunglasses:

The Block: 1.25m

Little Big Shots: 1.15m

Survivor: 625k

Sunday September 25
School holidays, warm weather in eastern states and the Queen’s Birthday long weekend in WA will affect ratings.

Little Big Shots 1.07m
Sunday Night 0.74m
Heists that Shook the World 0.32m

The Block 1.26m
60 Minutes 0.81m
Footy Classified season finale 0.25m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)

The Sunday Project 0.25m / 0.29m
Australian Survivor 0.56m

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Monday the 25th of September 2017

Seven will have a massive win, thanks to the Brownlow Medal (nothing unusual there).

It should be even bigger in Melbourne, as Foxtel no longer have simulcast rights (averaged over 200k past 5 years) + Dusty Martin tipped to win for Richmond…

No. 1 network: Seven

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7

•AFL - Brownlow Medal: 1.1m
[Ch 7 Melb: 700k + Adel: 150k + Per: 150k + 7mate Syd: 50k + Bris: 50k]

•The Block: 1.1m (will be down in Melb)
•HYBPA: 700k (will be down in Melb)
•Survivor: 550k (will be down in Melb)
•Highway Patrol (Syd + Bris only): 350k
•“Four Weddings and a Funeral” (movie - Ch 9): 325k

Not sure what’s airing on Ch 7 in Syd & Bris post 8:30pm

No. 1 multi-channel: 7Two or 7mate?

Monday September 26
It is all about the Brownlow tonight. Given Dustin Martin is almost certain to win, the interest will be the winning margin.

Brownlow Medal red carpet 0.45m (Melbourne and Adelaide) + 110,000 (Sydney, Brisbane and Perth)
2017 Brownlow Medal
Seven 840,000 (Melbourne 610,000 + Adelaide 110,000 + Perth 120,000) + 7mate 45,000 (Sydney 20,000 + Brisbane 25,000)
Highway Patrol rpt 0.32m (Sydney and Brisbane)
Movie: Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation rpt 0.25m (Sydney and Brisbane)

The Block 1.24m
Movie: Four Weddings and a Funeral rpt 0.45m)

Australian Survivor 0.61m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.71m

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25 Sep 2017

Seven will steal the night thanks to the Brownlow Medal.
Home and Away - 499k (except Perth, Adelaide)
Brownlow Medal - 1.23m (including 7mate)
The Block - 1.08m
Survivor - 554k
Highway Patrol (SYD + BNE) - 355k
4 Weddings & a Funeral - 330k

No 1 Network: Seven
No 1 Primary Channel: Seven
No 1 Multichannel: 7mate

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Tuesday September 26
The Block 1.23m
The Big Bang Theory 0.78m
Kath & Kim rpt 0.46m / 0.38m

First Dates 0.64m
800 Words 0.61m

Australian Survivor 0.62m
NCIS rpt 0.41m
NCIS: Los Angeles rpt 0.32m

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27 September 2017
The first episode of Cannonball will start off on a high, although some viewers will turn off during this show.

  • Cannonball - 1.02m
  • talking footy - 303k
  • the block - 1.12m
  • Doctor Doctor - 655k
  • Bachelorette - 870k
  • Gruene - 722k
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Wednesday the 27th of September 2017

It’ll be a very competitive night.

Cannonball should be massive on debut & Talking Footy on Seven’s main channel should do well, picking-up non-regular viewers…

No. 1 network: Seven (just)

No. 1 main channel: Ch 9 (just)

•Cannonball (series premiere): 1.25m
•The Block: 1m
•The Bachelorette: 925k
•Gruen: 850k
•Doctor Doctor: 675k
•Criminal Minds: 425k (later in 3 markets)
•Talking Footy - GF edition (Melb + Adel + Per): 300k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7Two or 7mate

Wednesday September 27
Seven will pin its hopes on Cannonball. I personally think it will flop.

Cannonball series premiere 0.55m
Talking Footy - grand final edition 0.36m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
Criminal Minds 0.43m

The Bachelorette 0.84m
Movie: Aloha rpt 0.29m

The Block 1.14m
Doctor Doctor 0.68m

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28 Sep 2017
Afl gf footy show will take a dive but nine will storm home with a win tonight
Afl footy show - 521k (melbourne, Adelaide & Perth)
Bachelorette - 777k
Nrl gf footy show - 303k (syd, bne)
The wrong girl - 388k
Cannonball - 356k
Front bar - 350k
Footy funniest - 244k

Thursday September 28
Nine will have a big win with the grand final edition of the Footy Shows. The most interesting battle will be in Melbourne where Footy’s Funniest and The Front Bar come up against The AFL Footy Show.

AFL Footy Show 0.51m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
NRL Footy Show 0.35m (Sydney and Brisbane)

Footy’s Funniest part 2 0.36m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
The Front Bar 0.35m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
Tiny Tots Make You Laugh Out Loud 0.28m (Sydney and Brisbane)

The Bachelorette 0.84m
The Wrong Girl 0.41m

If The Footy Show doesn’t beat The Front Bar tonight, total embarrassment :confused:

Friday the 29th of September 2017

Grand Final fever will give Seven an easy win (being the night before)…

No. 1 network: Seven

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7

•Better Homes & Gardens: 750k
•The Living Room: 550k
•“Get Hard” (movie premiere - Ch 7 + 7mate): 430k
•“Goldeneye” (movie - Ch 9): 410k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7mate or 9Go!

Saturday the 30th of September 2017

Seven and indeed TV’s biggest day of the year.

All about the Grand Final which will be enormous, I reckon higher than last year & close to an OzTam record (certainly in Adelaide and maybe in Melbourne), so much hype and euphoria, two years in a row!

Providing (as usual) a bumper lead-in to their prime-time…

No. 1 network: Seven (90%+ afternoon share)

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7

•AFL - Grand Final (ADEL vs. RICH): 3.2m
[Ch 7 Syd: 425k + Melb: 1.5m + Bris: 380k + Adel: 525k + Per: 375k] + 1.1m regional

•AFL Grand Final - Post Match: 2.3m

•AFL Grand Final - On The Ground: 2.2m

•AFL Grand Final - Pre Match Entertainment: 1.2m

•AFL Grand Final - Preview: 500k

•AFL Grand Final - Game Day: 350k

•Seven News: 1.7m (875k in Melbourne, 300k in Adelaide)

•“Indiana Jones and the Raiders of the Lost Ark” (movie - Ch 7): 650k

•“ET” (movie premiere - Ch 9): 350k

•“47 Ronin” (movie - Ch 7): 305k

•“Kindergarten Cop” (movie premiere - Ch 9): 275k

•David Attenborough (double ep): 250k

•Gold Coast Cops (double ep): 225k

•Territory Cops: 205k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7mate

•AFL Grand Final - Post Game Show: 350k

30 Sep 2017
Channel 7’s biggest day of the year thanks to AFL Grand Final. I hope that the program will overtake the 2005 grand final JUST. Boy oh boy wowee! That will be a new record for the Seven Network!
No 1 Network: Seven (96% afternoon share)
No 1 Main Channel: Seven

AFL GF - Adelaide v Richmond - 3.413m (Syd: 444k, Mel: 1.602m, BNE: 420k, Ade: 533k, Per: 411k)+ 1.4m regional
AFL GF - Presentations: 3.132m (Syd: 400k, Mel: 1.508m, BNE: 371k, Ade: 494k, Per: 360k)
AFL GF - Post Match: 2.303m
AFL GF - On the Ground: 2.14m
AFL GF - Entertainment: 1.44m
AFL GF - Preview: 565k
AFL GF - Game Day: 360k
Weekend Sunrise: 300k
Seven News: 1.87m (Syd: 224k, Mel: 935k, BNE: 244k, Ade: 303k, Per: 167k)
Indiana Jones: 630k
Kindergarten Cop: 255k
David Attenborough: 220k
GC Cops: 212k
Territory Cops: 210k
Rugby Union: SA v AUS: 44k (due to late night/midnight coverage in Australia)

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