2021 Ratings Predictions

Sunday February 21
I also think the AO men’s final will be lower than last year, but Nine will easy win the night.

Australian Open men’s singles final 1.44m
Australian Open men’s singles final: post-match presentation 0.57m

Holey Moley 0.44m
Movie: John Wick: Chapter 2 Rpt 0.29m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.51m
FBI: Most Wanted new 0.28m

You will probably have to go back to the 1970s to find the all time low audience.

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Haha :joy: Okay I’ll re-phrase, OzTam low.

Update: had a scroll through TVT’s archive, actually looks like 2011 only did 1.3m metro (Djokovic’s 2nd win - beating Andy Murray), beaten by the cricket and Kim Clijsters women’s final!

Other sessions from the 2011 Aus Open also looked very low, some as low as 300k metro. Looks like that year cricket did very well for Nine and news was affecting with Queensland floods?

So @TV.Cynic 2011 looks to have been a bit of a shocker for Seven’s Aus Open before bouncing back in a big way in 2012, maybe Nine’s this year won’t (yet) be an OzTam low?

Monday February 22
Big night for Nine. I think MAFS will break last year’s record audience for the season premiere.

Married at First Sight season premiere 1.17m
Movie: Bridesmaids Rpt 0.34m

Holey Moley grand final 0.51m
9-1-1 0.32m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.48m
Hughesy We Have a Problem 0.28m

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Married: 1m

Tuesday February 23
Married at First Sight 0.92m
Botched 0.35m
Labour of Love series premiere 0.24m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.51m
NCIS 0.31m

Highway Patrol special 0.31m
The Good Doctor 0.28m


Wednesday February 24
The Cube will have its work cut out to get a share of younger demographics against MAFS and Hard Quiz.

The Cube series premiere 0.54m
Bull 0.29m

Married at First Sight 0.94m
The Equalizer series premiere 0.44m

Ambulance: Code Red 0.33m
The Bay season finale 0.28m / 0.25m


Thursday February 25
Married at First Sight 0.87m
The Equalizer 0.33m

Home and Away triple episodes 0.44m
Wife Swap 0.29m

Bondi Rescue season premiere 0.48m
Territory Cops season premiere 0.42m
Gogglebox 0.51m

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Sunday February 28
Married at First Sight 1.04m
60 Minutes 0.74m

Celebrity Holey Moley premiere 0.49m
Movie: Venom premiere 0.32m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.51m

28 feb 2021
Married at first sight - 901k
60 mins - 608k
Celebrity holey moley - 489k
The amazing race - 587k

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Monday March 1
Married at First Sight 0.88m
Under Investigation series premiere 0.49m

Holey Moley season finale 0.44m
9-1-1 0.28m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.45m
Hughesy We Have a Problem 0.22m


Tuesday March 2
Married at First Sight 0.94m
Framing Britney Spears premiere 0.55m

Highway Patrol 0.34m
The Good Doctor 0.28m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.43m


Wednesday March 3
Married at First Sight 0.93m
Amazing Grace series premiere 0.51m
New Amsterdam season premiere 0.22m

The Cube 0.53m

Billy Connolly: It’s Been a Pleasure premiere 0.36m
The Pembrokeshire Murders series premiere 0.32m / 0.27m


Thursday, March 4
With no MAFS tonight, it’s anyone’s game.

Mega Zoo series premiere 0.34m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
The Equalizer 0.33m

Bondi Rescue 0.29m
Territory Cops 0.28m
Gogglebox 0.51m

Home and Away triple episodes 0.44m
Wife Swap 0.27m

1 Like

Oprah Interview 1m.

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SUNDAY 7 MARCH

Married at First Sight 1,080,000
Ultimate Tag 710,000
The Amazing Race 570,000

Ultimate Tag will lose many viewers just like Holey Moley, many will trial and switch to other networks.

Nine will win the night thanks for MAFS, 60 Mins and the Late news.

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Sunday March 7
Ultimate Tag will have a much lower launch than Holey Moley but may retain its viewers as the series progresses.

Ultimate Tag series premiere 0.63m
Movie: Kingsman: The Secret Service Rpt 0.28m

Married at First Sight 1.02m
60 Minutes 0.68m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.42m
FBI: Most Wanted new 0.29m

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Sunday March 7, 2021
Ultimate Tag will have a lower launch than Holey Moley

Ultimate Tag Premiere - 661k
MOvie: The Kingsman: The Secret SErvice Rpt - 290k

Married at First Sight - 1.014m
60 Minutes - 640k

The Amazing Race Australia - 505k
FBI: Most Wanted New - 297k

1 Like

Monday March 8
Viewers who don’t like Oprah’s interview with Harry and Meghan or Ultimate Tag will flock to MAFS or Four Corners.

Oprah with Harry and Meghan premiere 0.43m
Hughesy We Have a Problem 0.12m

Married at First Sight 1.12m
Under Investigation 0.68m

Ultimate Tag 0.39m
9-1-1 0.24m

8 March 2021
Ultimate Tag will continue its downward trend, while Nine wins the night.
Oprah with Harry and Meghan Premiere - 446k
Hughesy we Have a Problem - 140k

Married at First Sight - 1.08m
Under Investigation - 688k

Ultimate Tag - 399k
911 - 250k

1 Like

Married: 925k

Oprah: 850k

Four Corners: 800k

Ultimate Tag: 350k (shivers!)

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Tuesday March 9
Married at First Sight 0.88m
Nine News special: Crown in Crisis premiere 0.42m

Ultimate Tag 0.35m
The Good Doctor 0.29m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.48m
NCIS 0.39m
Oprah with Harry and Meghan encore 0.18m


Wednesday March 10
Married at First Sight 0.91m
Amazing Grace 0.45m

The Cube 0.39m

Border Security 0.35m / 0.33m
The Pembrokeshire Murders finale 0.31m


Thursday March 11
Thursday night NRL: Storm v Rabbitohs 0.46m (Nine) + 45,000 (9Gem)
Mega Zoo 0.12m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
The Equalizer 0.24m

Bondi Rescue 0.35m
Territory Cops 0.32m
Gogglebox 0.51m
10 News special: The Royal Fallout premiere 0.26m

Home and Away triple episodes 0.42m
Wife Swap 0.25m
Ant Middleton and Rebel Wilson: Straight Talking premiere 0.15m


Friday March 12
Better Homes and Gardens 0.43m
Movie: Ladies in Black premiere 0.26m

Friday night NRL: Broncos v Eels 0.39m (Sydney and Brisbane)

The Living Room Rpt 0.34m
The Graham Norton Show 0.28m

1 Like

Sat 13 Mar

West Australian election today, I reckon ABC might win Saturday (with ABC News channel probably going above 6% and their already strong main channel line-up although minus Perth but regardless The election coverage should do no worse if not better there).

13 Mar 2021
ABC will just win the night thanks to the WA State election.
WA Votes Election Night Live - 164k (ABC Perth), 130k (on ABC News Channel)
Death in Paradise - 554k (except Perth)
Call the Midwife - 438k (Except Perth)

Space Invaders - 224k (ex Perth)
The Bourne Identity - 201k (Except Perth)

Shazam - 358k (except Perth)

Ambulance UK - 230k
Territory Cops - 247k

1 Like

Sunday March 14
The Ivan Milat special should steal some viewers from what will be a very explosive episode of MAFS.

Married at First Sight 0.98m
60 Minutes 0.62m
Under Investigation encore 0.29m

Seven News Spotlight: Ivan Milat: Buried Secrets premiere (part 1) 0.75m
Movie: Kingsman: The Golden Circle Rpt 0.28m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.47m
FBI: Most Wanted new 0.26m


Monday March 15
Married at First Sight 1.01m
Under Investigation 0.58m

Declassified: The Royal Scandals series premiere 0.42m
The Latest 0.37m (except Perth)
9-1-1 0.29m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.45m
Hughesy We Have a Problem 0.28m


Tuesday March 16
Married at First Sight 0.95m
Botched 0.37m

Surveillance Oz Dashcam 0.31m / 0.28m
The Good Doctor 0.25m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.48m
NCIS new 0.31m


Wednesday March 17
Married at First Sight 1.01m
Amazing Grace 0.42m

Home and Away 0.52m
The Front Bar season premiere 0.41m
Ambulance: Code Red 0.28m

The Cube 0.36m

1 Like

18 March 2021
AFL - Tigers v Blues - 700k (including on 7mate)
NRL - Parramatta Eels v Storm - 450k (including on GEM)
Gogglebox AUstralia - 560k

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