2021 Ratings Predictions

Monday February 8
Australian Open day 1 0.28m
Australian Open night 1 0.54m
Australian Open night 1 late 0.39m

Super Bowl LV: Tampa Bay v Kansas City 0.33m
Holey Moley 0.54m
9-1-1 0.36m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.51m
Hughesy We Have a Problem season premiere 0.38m

2 Likes

Tonight (Monday 8/2):

Nine No. 1, main channel and network.

Aus Open, night: 775k

Holey Moley: 575k

Amazing Race: 550k

Aus Open, day: 275k
(boosted by 3:30 - 6pm viewers)

Super Bowl: 250k

2 Likes

Monday Feb 8:
Australian Open - Afternoon: 350k
Australian Open - Night: 710k (Kyrgios match)
Australian Open - Late: 200k

Superbowl: 222k

Hughesy: 300k

4 Likes

Tuesday February 9
Australian Open day 2 0.21m
Australian Open night 2 0.59m
Australian Open night 2 late 0.24m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.54m
NCIS 0.33m

Holey Moley 0.44m
The Good Doctor 0.37m


Wednesday February 10
Nine will win easily with no Holey Moley or The Amazing Race on tonight.

Australian Open day 3 0.22m
Australian Open night 3 0.48m
Australian Open night 3 late 0.35m

Jamie’s Easy Meals for Every Day series return 0.32m / 0.29m
Bull new 0.25m

Ambulance: Code Red series premiere 0.34m
The Bay season premiere 0.29m / 0.27m


Thursday February 11
Australian Open day 4 0.22m
Australian Open night 4 0.59m / 0.48m
Australian Open night 4 late 0.29m

Home and Away triple episode 0.51m
Wife Swap Australia series premiere 0.32m

Ambulance Australia Rpt 0.31m
Law & Order: SVU new 0.25m


Friday February 13
Australian Open day 5 0.29m
Australian Open night 5 0.61m / 0.58m
Australian Open night 5 late 0.32m

Better Homes and Gardens 0.45m

The Living Room Rpt 0.31m
The Graham Norton Show 0.28m

4 Likes

I am expecting bumper news ratings in Melbourne with the news today that Victoria is going into a five-day lockdown.

Friday 12th February, 2021

Seven News Melbourne
6pm - 302k
6:30pm - 279k

Nine News Melbourne
6pm - 394k
6:30pm - 378k

ABC News Victoria
203k

Ten News First Melbourne
5pm - 101k
6pm - 72k

3 Likes

Saturday February 12
With no crowds allowed into Melbourne Park for the next five days, and with Aussies Barty and De Minaur playing tonight, Nine will have bumper ratings for its tennis coverage.

Australian Open day 6 0.33m
Australian Open night 6 0.81m / 0.77m
Australian Open night 6 late 0.24m

Movie: Thor Rpt 0.25m
Movie: Thor: The Dark World Rpt 0.23m

Three Blue Ducks series premiere 0.18m

2 Likes

Hard to know what’ll happen tonight. Either way, no crowds is a huge difference in the look, sound and feel of matches. But then you have an entire state locked-down. So pushes and pulls.

I’ll play it safe (won’t be close to last night’s Kyrgios numbers):

550k (night averaged). Would’ve been 100k-200k higher with roaring crowds, IMO. Hope I’m wrong though.

Sunday February 14
With only one big name (Djokovic) playing tonight, the tennis audience will plummet but Nine should still win the night.

Australian Open day 7 0.29m
Australian Open night 7 0.51m / 0.45m
Australian Open night 7 late 0.22m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.54m
FBI: Most Wanted 0.31m

Holey Moley 0.61m
Movie: Shooter Rpt 0.26m


Monday February 15
Australian Open day 8 0.22m
Australian Open night 8 0.74m / 0.49m
Australian Open night 8 late 0.21m

Holey Moley 0.44m
9-1-1 0.28m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.54m
Hughesy We Have a Problem 0.29m

2 Likes

Tuesday 16 Feb, tonight

Nine Network number 1, Channel 9 number 1

Serena Williams v Simona Halep (Session 1): about 650k

Novak Djokovic v Alexander Zverev (Session 2): about 525k

Amazing Race: 535k

Holey Moley: 450k

1 Like

Tuesday February 16
Australian Open day 9 0.26m
Australian Open night 9 0.64m / 0.55m
Australian Open night 9 late 0.41m

The Amazing Race Australia 0.54m
NCIS 0.32m

Holey Moley 0.44m
The Good Doctor 0.29m

2 Likes

Rafael Nadal vs Stafanos Tsitsipas: 875k metro (S1) / 825k (S2)

Hard Quiz: 600k

The Weekly: 550k

(It’ll be a bad night for Seven and 10)

1 Like

Wednesday February 17
Australian Open day 10 0.32m
Australian Open night 10 0.74m / 0.66m

Jamie’s Easy Meals for Every Day series finale 0.32m / 0.29m
Bull new 0.28m

Ambulance: Code Red 0.31m
The Bay 0.27m / 0.26m

2 Likes

Gogglebox should be the top show (outside news) tonight and will do good key demos, but will be affected by a bad lead-in and the tennis (depending how close and long the Djokovic semi final goes) and Nine should still easily win the night.

Gogglebox: 700k

Thursday February 18
Australian Open day 11 0.32m
Australian Open night 11 0.64m / 0.56m

Home and Away triple episodes 0.44m
Wife Swap 0.29m

Ambulance Australia Rpt 0.33m
Gogglebox season premiere 0.61m
Law & Order: SVU 0.22m

1 Like

19 Feb 2021
Australian Open Day 12 - 250k
Australian Open Night 12 - 598k
Super Rugby AU - Reds v Waratahs - 130k (9GEM)
Better Homes and Gardens - 482k
Con AIr - 289k
The Living Room - 355k
THe Graham NOrton Show - 280k

1 Like

One of the biggest sporting weekends of 2021 is here and Nine will dominate.

Friday February 19
Australian Open day 12 0.22m
Australian Open night 12 0.63m / 0.58m
Super Rugby: Reds v Waratahs 0.16m (9Gem)

Better Homes and Gardens 0.43m
Movie: Con Air Rpt 0.27m

The Living Room Rpt 0.34m
The Graham Norton Show 0.31m


Saturday February 20

The AO women’s final will be down on last year but Nine will still win by a big margin.

Australian Open women’s singles final 0.81m
Australian Open women’s singles final: post-match presentation 0.59m
NRL All Stars: Indigenous v Maori 0.14m (9Gem)

Holey Moley: Road to Glory special 0.31m
Movie: The Avengers: Age of Ultron Rpt 0.29m

2 Likes

20 Feb 2021
Women’s singles final will drop from last year, but Nine will still win during that night.
Australian open women’s final - 791k
Australian open women’s presentation - 543k
Rugby League: Indigenous all stars v Maori all stars - 230k (GEM)
Holey moley road to glory special - 304k

1 Like

Sunday 21/2

With Holey Moley failing to fire and Amazing Race only doing mediocre (and 10 are often lower on Sundays anyway with Seven having a direct lead-in from news)…

It’ll be all one way traffic for the Australian Open final with Djokovic and Nine tonight! With the match anticipated and some saying it could go the distance with the two players very similar long rallies, there could be huge shares coming too.

Aus Open final: 1.3m metro
(this could still be an all time low though?)

Amazing Race: 475k

Harrow: 430k

Holey Moley: 400k (new low?)

1 Like

Saturday 20 Feb:

Australian Open Women’s Final: 675k
Presentation: 555k
Pre-Match: 300k

Holey Moley Special: 295k
Avengers Movie: 255k

21 February 2021
Australian Open Men’s Final Will drop from last year but Nine will still win the night by a big margin.
Australian Open Men’s singles final - 1.345m
Australian Open Men’s Presentations - 1.045m
Holey Moley - 434k
The amazing race - 607k