2019 Ratings Predictions

Sunday July 21
It will be interesting to see how much backlash MasterChef will suffer due to George Calombaris being fined $250,000 for owing wages to past and present employees.

MasterChef Australia 0.55m
MasterChef Australia: contestant reunion 0.43m

House Rules 0.73m
Sunday Night 0.49m
Special: The Day We Walked on the Moon premiere 0.35m

Australian Ninja Warrior 0.94m
60 Minutes 0.43m

Monday July 22
Australian Ninja Warrior 0.94m
Murder, Lies and Alibis 0.36m

House Rules grand final part 1 0.64m
S.W.A.T. 0.35m / 0.31m

MasterChef Australia semi final 0.67m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.64m

22 Jul ‘19
NInja Warrior - 909k
House Rules gf p1 - 708k
Masterchef SF -737k
HYBPA? - 740k

Tuesday July 23
With tonight the swan song for Gary Mehigan, George Calombaris and Matt Preston as co-judges of MasterChef, the show may get one last ratings spike. House Rules will suffer in the ratings as the result, but Ninja will top both shows.

MasterChef Australia grand final 0.84m
MasterChef Australia winner announced 0.93m

House Rules grand final part 2 0.65m
House Rules winner announced 0.68m
Interview 0.41m

Australian Ninja Warrior 0.92m
Movie: The Hitman’s Bodyguard premiere 0.35m

July 23 2019
Masterchef and House Rules will dent Ninja Warrior and will top the ratings program and prime time share respectively for tonight.
Masterchef - 899k
Masterchef Winner announces - 990k
House Rules - 644k
House Rules Winner Announced - 722k
Ninja Warrior - 878k

Wednesday July 24
With weaker competition, Australian Survivor should do very well.

Australian Survivor season premiere 0.76m
My Life is Murder 0.45m

Britain’s Got Talent grand final 0.41m

Young Sheldon new 0.52m
Young Sheldon repeat 0.43m
Movie: Guardians of the Galaxy Volume 2 rpt 0.34m

Thursday July 25
Australian Survivor 0.74m

Thursday night NRL: Sharks v Cowboys 0.39m (Sydney and Brisbane)

Home and Away 0.58m
The Front Bar 0.38m
Martin Clunes: Islands of America series premiere 0.22m (Sydney and Brisbane)

27 July 2019 (apologies to not posting today)

Seven will win thanks to AFL, Nine wins demos thanks to a movie, while Rugby Union will crash and burn.

Afl - 505k (including on 7mate)
Pirates of the Caribbean - 522k
Despicable Me (2010) - 388k
Rugby Union - 144k (including 10Bold)

Sunday July 28
Ninja Warrior grand final will hit one million, AGT will get average ratings and Survivor will flop.

Australian Ninja Warrior grand final part 1 1.13m
60 Minutes 0.65m

Australia’s Got Talent season premiere 0.71m
Sunday Night 0.48m

Australian Survivor 0.53m
Instinct season premiere 0.26m

1 Like

28 July 2019
It will be a test for Survivor and AGT against Ninja Warrior.
ANW GF P1 - 1.04m
60 Mins - 605k
AGT - 655k
Sunday Night - 510k
Australian Survivor - 556k
Instinct Season Premiere - 277k

With the NRL overrunning ever so slightly into the 6pm hour, I’d imagine that Nine are going to smash the competition in Sydney tonight…

Is 500k a flop for 10 on a Sunday?

I don’t think it’s a flop on Sunday. I think it could still do ok in younger demos.

Monday July 29
Ninja finale will get massive ratings.

Australian Ninja Warrior grand final part 2 1.23m
Australian Ninja Warrior grand final: final stage 1.54m

Australian Survivor 0.57m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.65m

Australia’s Got Talent 0.71m
S.W.A.T. 0.32m / 0.28m

1 Like

July 30 2019
Given that Ninja Warrior delivered strong ratings last night, Nine will be beaten easily by Seven.

Ninja Warrior AUs v The World - 605k
The Real Full Monty - 811k
Australian Survivor - 610k
True Stories - 355k
NCIS - 330k
Fast & Furious 7 - 340k

Tuesday July 30
The Ninja special will take viewers away from both Survivor and Monty.

The All New Monty premiere 0.76m

Ninja Warrior: Australia v The World premiere 0.67m
Movie: Fast & Furious 7 premiere 0.34m

Australian Survivor 0.64m

Wednesday July 31
The Bachelor should rate well but the key battle is between two first run movies and a crime drama, especially in younger demographics.

The Bachelor season premiere 0.74m
My Life is Murder 0.42m

Highway Patrol special 0.56m
Movie: Wonder Woman premiere 0.36m

Young Sheldon season finale 0.45m
Young Sheldon rpt 0.39m
Movie: The Fate of the Furious premiere 0.29m

31 July 2019
The Bachelor - 750k
My Life is Murder - 445k

Highway Patrol Special - 577k
Wonder Woman Premiere - 370k

Young Sheldon Season Finale - 442k
Young Sheldon (rpt) - 377k
The Fate of the Furious - 270k

Thursday August 1
The Ashes will dominate viewing and The Bachelor and The Front Bar will take a hit.

The Ashes first test: session 1 0.65m, session 2 0.43m
Thursday night NRL: Tigers v Cowboys 0.34m (Sydney and Brisbane)

Home and Away 0.57m
The Front Bar 0.35m

The Bachelor 0.66m

August 1 2019
The Ashes will hit more runs for Nine.

The Ashes - S1 - 705k (with strong numbers in Perth)
The Ashes - S2 - 455k (with strong numbers in Perth)
Thursday Night NRL - 350k
Home and Away - 566k
The Front Bar - 346k
The Bachelor - 666k