It’ll be neck and neck in Melbourne, but AFL should easily beat MasterChef in Adelaide. All depends on how good the game is
2018 FIFA World Cup
Russia v Saudi Arabia: 200k (the worst game of the tournament combined with awful timeslot).
Spain v Portugal: 300k (difficult to tell how it will go really tbqh. 4am is a better timeslot and its a weekend and its a hyped up game, however SBS are replaying it immediately afterwards which could eat the live audience).
Australia v France: 2.3mil
Tonight:
Big AFL game, Sydney vs. West Coast, Seven will dominate.
–
Tomorrow:
FIFA World Cup: AUS vs. FRA: 1.4m. 500k in Sydney and 400k in Melbourne. ~23% main channel share for SBS.
But, and a big but, Seven and/or Nine will probably still beat SBS overall with multi-channels.
As for the soccer match, 1.4m would be enormous for SBS and easily be Number 1 and should be Number 1 channel. But haven’t predicted higher, because there are still many cricket and/or AFL fans who won’t watch soccer and depending on how good those session/game is.
No dount, a massive sports day. Also Rugby on Ten (I think they won’t stand a chance), NRL and US Open golf on Foxtel.
Australia Chile did a fair bit better than that 4 years ago at 8am in the morning.
Saturday June 16
What a massive night with live sports on four different networks in the same two hour timeframe (8pm to 10pm AEST). Soccer will dominate but I doubt it will get 1 million. Cricket will be distant second, then AFL and rugby union.
FIFA World Cup pre-game 0.54m
FIFA World Cup: France v Australia 0.91m
FIFA World Cup post-game 0.34m
One day cricket: England v Australia session 1 0.54m (including 9Gem)
One day cricket: England v Australia session 2 0.36m (including 9Gem)
Saturday night AFL: Hawthorn v Adelaide 0.39m (Melbourne and Adelaide) + 0.11m (Sydney, Brisbane and Perth)
Rugby union: Australia v Ireland 2nd test - match 0.27m
16 June 2018
Soccer will score more goals for SBS than any other tv network during night.
FIFA World Cup - 1.22m
ODI Cricket - Australia v England s1 - .50m (including 9Gem)
ODI Cricket - Australia v England s2 - .34m
Hawthorn v Adelaide - 511k (including 7mate)
Rugby Union Australia v Ireland - 0.22m
SBS will land first, followed by Seven. ABC will nab third spot followed by Nine, TEN will languish last
Multiple viewing should boost the Saturday night ratings and help with the predictions.
Sunday June 17
The Voice grand final will rate well but down on past seasons.
The Voice grand final 0.85m
The Voice winner announced 0.97m
60 Minutes 0.64m
House Rules 0.81m
Sunday Night 0.71m
MasterChef Australia 0.74m
Monday June 18
MasterChef Australia 0.82m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.76m
House Rules 0.89m
First Dates season premiere 0.54m
Talkin’ 'Bout Your Generation 0.56m
The Big Bang Theory new 0.46m
The Big Bang Theory rpt 0.39m
18 Jun 2018
MCA - 811k
HYBPA - 757k
House Rules - 882k
First Dates - 544k
TBYG - 554k
TBBT - 445k
TBBT (rpt) - 399k
FIFA World Cup - Korea v Sweden - 380k
Tuesday June 19
MasterChef Australia 0.86m
Shark Tank 0.56m
House Rules 0.75m
Interview 0.47m
Buying Blind 0.52m
Movie: Ocean’s Eleven rpt 0.36m
Wednesday June 20
MasterChef Australia 0.87m
Instinct 0.45m
House Rules 0.82m
Modern Family 0.34m
The Front Bar 0.33m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
Young Sheldon 0.61m / 0.55m
Britain’s Got Talent 0.32m (Sydney and Brisbane)
The AFL Footy Show 0.33m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
FIFA World Cup: Portugal v Morocco 0.35m
FIFA World Cup - DEN vs. AUS: 1m
SBS have struck gold again, in prime time still and will be the only program anyone is watching after 10pm. SBS should win main channel, but I think Seven will win overall.
Thursday June 21
Basically it’s AFL v soccer tonight (plus MasterChef in Perth due to time difference), but Seven should fall across the line.
FIFA World Cup: Australia v Denmark pre-match 0.45m
FIFA World Cup: Australia v Denmark match 0.91m
Thursday night AFL: West Coast v Essendon 0.42m (Melbourne and Adelaide) + 0.22m (Sydney, Brisbane and Perth)
MasterChef Australia 0.82m
Body Hack 2.0 0.47m
The NRL Footy Show 0.33m (Sydney and Brisbane)
Britain’s Got Talent 0.32m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
21 Jun 2018
SBS will kick more goals than Channel 7 thanks to the FIFA World Cup Coverage.
Australia v Denmark - 1.04m
AFL: West Coast v Essendon - 555k (7 + 7mate) - shame that West Coast are playing terrible footy tonight!
NRL Footy Show - 212k
Masterchef - 767k
England v Australia - 155k (9Gem)
Tonight:
All networks will get something. Who will win will come down to how close each sport game is and multi-channels.
World Cup late night: 450k
AFL: 350k
Rugby: 325k
Pacific Rugby League: 275k
Sunday June 24
State of Origin will be huge tonight. That pre-match segment alone will easily beat House Rules reveal episode. Nine should get 50% network share with 9GO! (Love Island) and 9Gem (cricket) but SBS will pick up some late night shares with the soccer.
State of Origin game 2 pre-match 1.4m
State of Origin game 2 match 2.45m
State of Origin game 2 post-match 1.1m
One day cricket: England v Australia game 5 0.13m (9Gem)
House Rules 0.76m
Sunday Night rpt 0.42m
MasterChef Australia 0.73m
FIFA World Cup: England v Panama 0.46m
24 Jun 2018
It’s Super Sunday of Sport tonight! Channel 9 will be in scintillating form when they score more tries thanks to Origin.
Origin Game 2 pre match - 1.44m
Origin Game 2 Match - 2.48m
Origin Game 2 post match - 1.22m
One Day Cricket: England v Australia - 0.154m (9Gem)
House Rules - .75m
Sunday Night - .44m
Masterchef Australia - 650k
FIFA World Cup: England v Panama - 494k
Monday June 25
House Rules (elimination) 0.91m
First Dates 0.41m
MasterChef Australia 0.82m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.84m
Talkin’ 'Bout Your Generation 0.55m
The Big Bang Theory new 0.48m
The Big Bang Theory rpt 0.38m
Tuesday June 26
It’s make or break time for the Socceroos. A large audience will tune in to see if they can beat Peru in the World Cup, although the ratings will be lower than the last two matches due to the midnight AEST kickoff in the east coast.
FIFA World Cup: Australia v Peru 1.22m
House Rules 0.81m
Interview 0.47m
Buying Blind 0.54m
Movie: Ocean’s Twelve rpt 0.35m
MasterChef Australia 0.85m
Shark Tank 0.59m