Climate, Weather and Emergencies

Precisely why the wording was changed from global warming to climate change. In some areas it might get colder, but everywhere the weather will get more extreme.

2 Likes

With Sydney and probably most of NSW having had such a dry Winter (there wasn’t really any major rain events or East Coast Lows, unlike the previous two Winters) with the trend seeming to continue through Spring, I’m a little worried about what the weather’s going to be like as we head into the warmer months.

The Winter we just had was very reminiscent of 2013…which unfortunately was the precursor to the October bushfires that year.

1 Like

It’s been an unusually dry winter in VIC too.

This week (oddly enough being spring) is the first prolonged wild weather we’ve had… Freezing :dizzy_face: Pretty jealous of QLD & even NSW right now!

Though again, with very minimal rain.

Last summer was drilled into us as being one of Australia’s most dangerous, wonder if this will be too?

NSW’ bushfire season in the next month or two.

That’s the nature of record-keeping and observation. Every record gets broken the longer the period you’re analysing.

People don’t dispute whether shifts in climatic patterns occur. The debate is whether you subscribe to the shrill left-wing view that the sky is falling in, or the practical right-wing view that such changes can be comfortable responded to with human adaptation, and with changes also representing new opportunities (for example, a smaller proportion of the WA landmass in the south receiving less rainfall over time, compared with a massive proportion of the north of the state seeing increased rainfall and therefore greater suitability for agriculture).

…which is that we can make a difference now and clean energy will create more jobs and boost the economy, and that we should limit warming to 2C by 2100.

That’s a very reasonable position. Given the changes in technology over the past 83 years - and the pace at which current solar technology is rapidly advancing - it’s highly likely it won’t matter what “reasonable” climate change skeptics think. Clean energy will be cheaper than fossil fuels before 2025.

And every climate model shows that allowing climate change to continue will be a disaster for ecosystems. It won’t matter if WA gets a few more inches of rain once global fish populations collapse from reef bleaching and sea level rises. We’ll also see stronger cyclones and more devastating floods. In poorer and even wealthier countries that will mean more displaced people and potential instability, and the potential for conflict over dwindling natural resources such as food and water. That’s not just me talking - The Pentagon is concerned about all these issues becoming exacerbated by unchecked global climate change.

6 Likes

Despite yesterday’s late cold snap and huge snow dump, warnings of a potentially extreme upcoming summer season have already been mentioned numerous times in recent days.

Worryingly, conditions this year have been very reminiscent of 2012-13 which was the same period the devastating firestorms that hit Dunalley and other large areas in and around the south-east of the state and in other states like NSW.

http://www.tasmanianbushfires.com.au/tasmanian-bushfires-2013/

2 Likes

If you need proof that Sydney has been experiencing some rather dry weather lately, it was mentioned on Nine News tonight that we’ve only had 0.2mms of rain so far this month.

For those hoping for some decent rain soon, unfortunately it isn’t looking good with more warm and dry weather expected in Sydney for most of the upcoming week. Maximum temperatures for Saturday in Sydney are currently expected to be around the 33-36 degree mark (how high will depend on whether you’re in the City or West, of course) - can anyone tell me how this compares with the current record high temperature for Sydney in September?! :open_mouth:

1 Like

In contrast, Perth is currently forecasted to receive 100 - 150mm in the next 8 days after a relatively dry start to September. The same map indicates no more than 5mm in the same period for Sydney.

3 Likes

September records in Sydney for highest maximum temperatures as they stand (as of 20th September 2017):

Observatory Hill: 34.6°C (26th September 1965)
Sydney Airport: 35.6°C (29th September 2000 - during the Olympics)
Richmond RAAF: 35.9°C (30th September 1980)
Penrith: 35.8°C (22nd September 2003)
Camden: 36.0°C (30th September 1980)

With Sydney having already reached the mid-30s last Wednesday, it’s safe to say that summer pretty much starts in September these days, with spring & autumn almost becoming non-existant in that part of the world. You could also say that Sydney’s climate is now becoming just a slightly milder version of Brisbane’s.

Meanwhile, on that same day, Canberra (600m ASL) will also experience a day where records could potentially fall, with a forecast top of 28°C expected, which is very warm for this time of year. Its current record high for this month is 28.6°C, which occurred on 26th September 1965.

As strange as it sounds, Perth seems to have a more real 4-season climate than what Sydney has these days, with forecast temps for the next week being more winter/spring like. And that’s despite Perth being at around the same latitude as Taree on the NSW’s Mid North Coast!

2 Likes

Brisbane is very much the same. Dry as a bone here.

Exact same in Townsville.
Dam level is at 17%, we’re on Level 3 water restrictions. We had 1mm of rain on Tuesday, and before that we’d only had 2mm of rain for the last 4.5 months.

It is the dry season, but this is way worse than normal!

3 Likes

Instead of getting it’s bad weather in winter, Sydney gets its bad weather in summer (particularly February/March).

Which is Melbourne’s hottest and driest part of the year, where heatwaves and devastating bushfires occur.

Meanwhile QLD is in the thick of its bushfire danger season now.

Well we did have a bizzare March/April weather here in Sydney! I think we had showers off, on or full on rain for a period of 3-4 weeks! So that does make up for the very dry winter!

2 Likes

Quite often as a result of the lingering instability off QLD around that time (tropical cyclones, etc).

Which helps understand terms such as “Australia’s dry summer” (South-East) & “Australia’s humid/wet summer” (QLD/NSW).

1 Like

Summer has arrived early this year,every day next week in Brisbane is forecast to be over 30 degrees,36 on Monday. I don’t work in air con so I hate summer :rage:We have large industrial fans throughout the factory but on really hot days they only blow hot air :confused:

4 Likes

Today was warm across Victoria (Melbourne hit 25.5% today just after 4.15pm) and it will be even warmer tomorrow with strong wind and showers to come.

3 Likes

Wow, I’m glad we’re missing out on the heatwave up here in North QLD.
We’re expecting 28-29 all of this coming week.

A fair number of places across NSW, ACT & VIC have broken records for the highest ever temperature in September yesterday. The new September records for NSW/ACT can be seen below:

As you can see, the more coastal sites have been spared from a new September record, with Observatory Hill (next to Sydney CBD) hitting ‘only’ 32.2°C, whilst Bellambi in Wollongong’s northern suburbs, right on the coastline, hit 31.1°C & Norah Head on the Central Coast hit 31.8°C.

Down in VIC, Mildura set a new statewide record for highest temperature in September, where it hit 37.7°C, beating the old record by 0.3°C. Melbourne reached a top of 30.6°C, which is the 4th hottest September day on record, whilst Bendigo has its hottest September day on record at 32.8°C. Bairnsdale in the Gippsland region reached 35.4°C, which not only broke a new record for September for that particular location, but also beat its highest temperature for October by 0.1°C!

Yesterday was certainly one for the record books, as far as weather extremities are concerned.

3 Likes

That’s a scary sign for summer.

1 Like

But how can that be when conservative pollies say global warming is “bullshit”…!!!

Tech entrepreneur Elon Musk, who gave the world PayPal, Tesla and SpaceX, recently secured the bid to build the world’s largest battery-storage plant in South Australia. English billionaire Sanjeev Gupta, whose family fortune was made in good old-fashioned steel, recently bought the Whyalla steelworks. Either these businessmen didn’t do their due diligence or what conservative politicians tell us about South Australia is utter nonsense. I know which way I’d lean.
…
Abbott isn’t an engineer or an economist, but he claims you can’t have a modern economy without coal-fired steam engines. Musk, who is an engineer, is betting a lot of his own money that the future of energy is renewable sources linked to battery storage and smart grids.
…
Once upon a time, the Coalition would have slapped down a backbencher who suggested politicians knew more about what companies need than the companies themselves.

Oh the good ol’ days…

1 Like