Climate, Weather and Emergencies

What are we supposed to do?

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Better planning and prevention. The issue is the states and the scientists are not two and two. It’s a dysfunctional relationship.

I would like to see considerable investment in the scientific tools and data, they are most certainly available. These tools can help detect and map out many scenarios.

It’s also no trade secret that there is poor coordination between the state governments and local fire services.

Equipment is another. Technology we are well underinvested. Drones are one technology piece that we barely use.

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Does 34 deg in September mean we won’t see March and April also dragging on with late season heat in Australia like what happened on the east coast this year ? Or will it be 7 months of summer?

I’m guessing Feb and March will be more normal and April for temperatures next year but way too far out to tell.

I did see Richmond forecast for 35 deg but the night temp is still 13 deg.

Here we had our first taste in Yeppoon of uncomfortable humidity dew point was 21 deg for 2 days . Found it uncomfortable for sleeping Temp wasn’t that high though but dew points like that are usually here in November not September . Only 3 weeks ago we had 8 deg in the morning lol.

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BOM still have not declared El Niño. Other International agencies have.

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⚠️BREAKING ⚠️@BOM_au press conference called at 3pm

Will an El Nino event be declared?

Coupling of atmosphere & ocean starting to take shape in the Pacific.

Full Positive IOD characteristics present in Indian Ocean.

Full coverage from 5pm on @10NewsFirstSyd @10NewsFirstQLD

— Josh Holt (@JoshHoltTEN) September 19, 2023
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https://twitter.com/BOM_au/status/1704002422123679849
The Bureau of Meteorology has declared that El Niño and a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) are underway. Warmer and drier conditions have already been forecast for spring and summer for parts of Australia. Details: http://bom.gov.au/climate/enso/

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The NSW Far South Coast region hit a Catastrophic fire danger rating today. Several bushfire warnings have been issued across the day throughout the state. A number of fire bans were issued, which will continue tomorrow including across the Greater Sydney region.

In addition, there is currently an Emergency Bushfire warning for Coles Bay along the east coast of Tasmania. Predicted winds of up to 125km/h have prompted a number of evacuations in that area, due to erratic bushfire behaviour.

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Did any of our Melbourne members feel that earthquake about 10 minutes ago?

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It was felt all the way in Ballarat

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I didn’t feel it at all

Earthquake felt in Victoria. Preliminary magnitude 5.1. Location is 10km north of Cape Otway, close to the Great Ocean Road. pic.twitter.com/4F7tYD5WOz

— Seismology Research Centre (@AusQuake) October 21, 2023
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Multiple homes have been lost as bushfires rage in Southern Queensland. In addition, at least 40 council areas across the state will have fire bans enforced for the remainder of the week due to continuing hot, dry and dangerous fire conditions.

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Weather conditions across parts of Queensland are all over the place today and the next few days.

A change coming through tomorrow will see some temperatures drop, but will bring with it gusty winds and the potential for severe thunderstorms.

At least 40 council areas across Queensland now also have fire bans in place.

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Queensland getting hit on all fronts, Cairns also. Meanwhile down here in Vic I’m freezing my t*** off.

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Meanwhile, the onion that never ceases to amaze (or smell):

It’s odd, Queensland never used to get many bushfires until the last year or two.

Flying back from Sydney / Canberra this week and I couldn’t get over how green Melbourne is at the moment. Very dry up north.

Yeah, apart from last weekend, we haven’t had any decent rain for a few months now.

Weaker trade winds with El Niño will impact the Cairns area especially the tablelands. Was up there not that long ago, the whole region is ripe for a severe fire event, green everywhere.

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