2020 Ratings Predictions

Sunday August 23
Farmer Wants a Wife 0.81m
7News Spotlight: Catching a Madman premiere 0.51m
Between Two Worlds 0.21m / 0.14m

Family Feud 0.34m
FBI 0.25m

The Block season premiere 0.92m
60 Minutes 0.56m


Monday August 24
10 will be hoping there will be no viewer backlash against The Masked Singer this week.

The Masked Singer 0.82m (mask reveal 0.93m)
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.71m
Just For Laughs Uncut 0.24m

The Block 0.89m
Celebrity IOU series premiere 0.42m

Farmer Wants a Wife finale 0.85m
9-1-1: Lone Star 0.32m


Tuesday August 25
Nine will win easily with the Block/Halifax combo.

The Block 0.77m
Halifax: Retribution series premiere 0.63m / 0.55m

Inside the Crown: Secrets of the Royals series premiere 0.35m / 0.33m

The Masked Singer 0.71m (mask reveal 0.81m)
Movie: Miss Congeniality Rpt 0.26m


Wednesday August 26

The Bachelor 0.69m
Tommy series finale 0.31m

RBT Rpt 0.43m
Emergency 0.52m

Highway Patrol Rpt 0.45m / 0.39m
America’s Got Talent 0.35m

Sunday August 30
Plate of Origin series premiere 0.65m
Crime Investigations Australia season premiere 0.32m
Between Two Worlds 0.25m / 0.18m

The Block 0.89m
60 Minutes 0.56m

Family Feud 0.28m


Monday August 31
I expect a big drop for Plate of Origin tonight.

Plate of Origin 0.43m
9-1-1: Lone Star 0.29m

The Block 0.85m
Celebrity IOU 0.39m

The Masked Singer 0.82m (mask reveal 0.93m)
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.68m


Wednesday September 2
The Block 0.71m
Emergency 0.46m

Highway Patrol Rpt 0.42m / 0.39m
America’s Got Talent 0.32m

The Bachelor 0.6m


Thursday September 3
Thursday night AFL: GWS v Carlton (Seven/7mate) 0.49m

Thursday night NRL: Broncos v Panthers 0.39m (Sydney and Brisbane)

The Bachelor 0.58m
Gogglebox 0.62m

4 Sep 2020
Friday Night AFL: Brisbane v Collingwood (7/7mate) - 579k
Better Homes and Gardens - 501k
The Butler - 321k (Sydney, Brisbane, Perth)
Friday Night NRL: South Sydney Rabbitohs v Melbourne Storm - 401k (Sydney, Brisbane)
Escape to the Chateau - 250k (Melbourne, Adelaide, Perth
THe Living Room - 328k
Gardening Australia - 403k
MotherFatherSon - 419k

Sunday September 6
Plate of Origin 0.51m
Crime Investigations Australia 0.32m
Between Two Worlds series finale 0.21m / 0.16m

The Block 0.83m
60 Minutes 0.52m

Family Feud 0.26m


Monday September 7
Plate of Origin 0.36m
9-1-1: Lone Star 0.29m

The Block 0.83m
Celebrity IOU 0.39m

The Masked Singer 0.82m (mask reveal 0.97m)
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.71m
Just For Laughs Uncut finale 0.25m


Tuesday September 8
The Masked Singer: Unmasked 0.64m

Plate of Origin 0.36m
Movie: Taken Rpt 0.27m

The Block 0.78m
Halifax: Retribution 0.45m


Wednesday September 9
The Block 0.71m
Emergency season finale 0.48m

Highway Patrol Rpt 0.38m / 0.34m
Movie: Kingsman The Secret Service Rpt 0.29m

The Bachelor 0.57m


Thursday September 10
The Bachelor 0.55m
Gogglebox 0.61m

Thursday night AFL: St Kilda v West Coast 0.59m (Seven/7mate)
America’s Got Talent 0.32m

Thursday night NRL: Tigers v Rabbitohs 0.39m (Sydney and Brisbane)

Sunday September 13
The All New Monty: Guys and Gals series premiere 0.74m
Crime Investigations Australia 0.34m

The Block 0.87m
60 Minutes 0.52m

Family Feud 0.25m

Family Feud was a few thousand short of 250k last Sunday, so it actually wouldn’t surprise me if it dips below 200k tonight.

Of course, I’d probably expect The Block to be the night’s #1 show. They probably won’t, but Ten really needs to schedule The Masked Singer on Sunday nights against Nine’s product placement fest next year IMO.

Sunday September 13:

The Block: 900k
New Monty Guys and Gals: 800k
Freeman (ABC): 789k
Family Feud: 215k

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Full Monty nights actually topped the ratings and won Seven the night when they aired.

However for this reason, I think fatigue will have set in and ratings will be significantly down, though 10 not providing any competition and Block being down may help, there’s also the Cathy Freeman doco on the ABC.

All New Monty Guys and Gals: 775k metro (it should at least do considerably better than POO). Key demos will be interesting, I reckon a large Over 55s and regional audience will help them.

14 September 2020
The Masked Singer Finale would drop slightly from last year but will still help win the night for 10.
The Masked Singer Grand Finale: 1.058m
The Masked Singer The Final Reveal: 1.303m
Have You Been Paying Attention? - 802k
Drunk History Australia - 324k
Plate of Origin - 358k
911 Lone Star - 285k
The Block - 747k
Celebrity IOU - 354k

Monday September 14
The Masked Singer grand finale 0.85m
The Masked Singer final reveal 1.24m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.79m
Drunk History Australia series premiere 0.34m

The Block 0.78m
Celebrity IOU 0.36m

Plate of Origin 0.37m
9-1-1 Lone Star 0.28m


Tuesday September 15
It may seem strange as it sounds, but I think Plate of Origin have a good chance to outrate Body Hack tonight, considering the latter barely reached 300,000 viewers in the 8.30pm timeslot last year.

Plate of Origin 0.35m
Movie: Taken 2 Rpt 0.25m

The Block 0.79m
Halifax: Retribution 0.49m

Todd Sampson’s Body Hack season premiere 0.29m
Ambulance Australia Rpt 0.35m

In response to a long range ratings prediction:

Agreed, that should result in absolute blockbuster ratings for Nine’s key markets of Sydney and South East Queensland.

Mind you, I’m not quite sure how well the 2020 NRL Grand Final is likely to rate in Queensland since none of those three teams have been playing that well this year. But from a Sydney ratings perspective, I reckon Nine would absolutely love it if current NRL competition leaders* the Penrith Panthers managed to make it!

*Yes, I know lots can change between now and the finals series what with injuries and everything else. But here and now…

I think it’s safe to say that the NRL Grand Final will see a shocking number for Seven News Sydney!

In the same way that the AFL Grand Final will most likely be a bad night for Nine News Melbourne! I say most likely only because this year the AFL won’t be leading into the news due to the night timeslot, but I still have a feeling that Seven Melbourne will take out the night.

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And I think an AFL grand final at the Gabba will actually rate well in Brisbane, for the novelty if nothing else. Imagine if Brisbane was in the final!

2 Likes

Wednesday September 16
Highway Patrol Rpt 0.41m / 0.38m
Movie: Kingsman: The Golden Circle Rpt 0.29m

The Block 0.75m
Australian Crime Stories season premiere 0.41m

The Bachelor 0.55m

Thursday September 17
The Bachelor 0.54m
Gogglebox 0.62m

Thursday night NRL: Rabbitohs v Bulldogs 0.36m (Sydney and Brisbane)

Home and Away triple episodes 0.53m
The Front Bar 0.33m

20 September 2020
The Block - 1.05m
60 MIns - 543k
All New Monty: Guys and Gals Ep 2 - 768k
Crime INvestigation Australia Most Famous S2 - 432k
Family Feud - 200k
FBI - 205k

Sunday September 20
The Block 0.98m
60 Minutes 0.51m

The All New Monty: Guys and Gals 0.76m
Crime Investigations Australia 0.32m

Family Feud 0.22m

1 Like

sorry for almost never commenting here in recent years, used to be a daily regular

Tonight could be interesting and close again, last week actually was within ~1% between Seven and Nine’s main channels, oddly it was Seven’s multi-channels that let them down (having one less and 7Two having another bad Sunday performance).

Tonight I reckon The Block and Monty will be relatively on par give or take a few tens of thousands. I think Seven’s multi-channel line-up is also the stronger one tonight, also called by 30min of AFL landing in prime time in Perth. Seven have AFL lead-in and Seven News. All New Monty should increase in its second two performance eps but not so sure it will.

Could come down to how well the after 8:30pm shows perform (which tend to be more fickle), as well as how well ABC’s Rupert Murdoch doco goes (Freeman did really well last week - but will the same audience tune in, possibly even more but maybe much less)?

Seven to possibly win overall, Nine to just win main channel

-The Block reveal: 975k

-The Block: 950k

-Monty Guys and Gals: 775k

-Rise of the Murdoch Dynasty: 750k

-60 Minutes: 565k

-Crime Investigation Australia: 500k

(As always, could be way off :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:)
@JohnsonTV @TV.Cynic @Super_SC @yellow_sock

I can’t seem to find the correct page to post this…

I would love to know the Adelaide ratings between 10 News First and 9 News at 5pm for the past week please?

Apologise if it’s not in the correct page. :confused:

Monday September 21
It will be a competitive night. I am afraid it won’t be a happy 200th episode for HYBPA due to a low lead-in and live AFL. The Block will be huge tonight.

Monday night AFL: Collingwood v Port Adelaide 0.52m (Seven/7mate)
Home and Away 0.53m (Seven/7TWO)

The Block 1.05m
Celebrity IOU 0.38m

Family Feud 0.25m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.55m
Drunk History Australia 0.27m

22 Sep 2020

  • The Block - 912k
  • Halifax: Retribution - 504k
  • Plate of Origin (Double Ep) Finale - 345k
  • Todd Sampson’s Body Hack - 512k
  • Ambulance Australia - 350k