Monday October 1
Nine will dominate the night with the reveal episode of The Block but I hope the Jimmy Barnes documentary will rate well with blanket promotions and Barnes’ performance at the AFL Grand Final.
The Block 1.32m
Doctor Doctor 0.71m
The Trade Table series premiere 0.25m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
Highway Patrol rpt 0.52m
Motorbike Cops 0.56m
Jimmy Barnes: Working Class Boy premiere 0.74m
Australian Survivor 0.67m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.73m
Tuesday October 2
Tonight marks the end of 800 Words after three seasons and with it, Seven’s long-run of one hour dramas which began with Packed to the Rafters in 2008.
Queen of the World part 1 (premiere) 0.56m
The Good Doctor season premiere 0.84m
800 Words series finale 0.43m
The Block 1.08m
True Story with Hamish and Andy new 0.67m
True Story with Hamish and Andy rpt 0.51m
Australian Survivor 0.66m
Bull season finale 0.31m / 0.29m
Thursday October 4
Ten will dominate the night with The Bachelor finale and Gogglebox. Nine’s new show Paramedics won’t have a chance but Nine will still win in network shares thanks to The Block.
The Bachelor finale 0.96m
The Bachelor final decision 1.2m
Gogglebox 0.68m
Home and Away triple episodes 0.55m
Movie: Suicide Squad premiere 0.41m
Friday October 5
Seven will have a big win tonight with Better Homes and Gardens, Batman v Superman and women’s T20 cricket on 7mate (hope it rates better than game 2).
Better Homes and Gardens 0.58m
Movie: Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice premiere 0.47m
Women’s Twenty20 cricket: Australia v New Zealand game 3 (7mate) 0.12m
Saturday October 6
Harry Potter movies have been enjoying ratings success on Nine in the past 12-13 years or so. Can they bring the same success to Seven?
Movie: Harry Potter and the Philosopher’s Stone rpt 0.46m
Movie: Lethal Weapon rpt 0.25m
Movie: Back to the Future II rpt 0.36m
Movie: The Expendables 2 rpt 0.28m
Sunday October 7
Ten kicks off a new round of first-run shows starting with Game of Games. All the promo run during the past few weeks and during Bathurst today will go to waste if people don’t tune in.
Bathurst 1000 race 1.02m
Bathurst 1000 podium 1.11m
Ten Eyewitness News 0.43m
The Sunday Project 0.47m / 0.51m
Game of Games series premiere 0.72m
NCIS season premiere 0.42m
All Together Now series premiere 0.81m
Sunday Night 0.65m
For mine, I think Seven have protracted this way too much and been flippant about the scheduling, instead prioritising royal specials, Barnesy and Good Doctor.
Bathurst will dominate the day for Ten, hopefully get the magic million in some part for them, but not sure how prime time will fair with special news bulletin and Sunday Project sandwiched between, which will surely get smashed by rusted on Seven and Nine 6pm viewers.
•The Block: 1.25m
•Bathurst 1000 Podium: 1.05m
•Bathurst 1000: 975k
•All Together Now launch: 875k
•Game of Games launch: 775k
Seven, Nine and Ten will all be very close in main channel, Ten could win.
Australian Survivor winner: 1.1m (apparently airs until 10pm!?)
Australian Survivor Final: 1m
The Block: 975k
The Good Doctor: 750k
True Story: 575k
Queen of the World: 525k
This is just a snapshot (picked at random) from mid-way through Georgia Love’s season (Season 2) in 2016, which didn’t seem to resonate with viewers, even missing Top 5 in 25-54s this particular night, only doing well in the youngest viewers.
I have a bad feeling this year’s season with Ali returning to her 3rd season of the franchise (getting very sour buzz already) could do as weak, if not worse.
Wednesday October 10
I think the ratings for this season of The Bachelorette will be moderate at best due to backlash against Ali Oetjen. Unfortunately it will affect the ratings for Playing for Keeps on Wednesdays and Gogglebox on Thursdays.
The debut of Manifest should rate well.
The Bachelorette season premiere 0.70m
Playing for Keeps 0.45m
The Block 1.02m
Manifest series premiere 0.59m
Highway Patrol rpt 0.55m
9-1-1 season premiere 0.47m
Criminal Minds season premiere 0.34m
Saturday October 13
Movie: Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets rpt 0.52m
Trans Tasman Rugby League Test: New Zealand v Australia 0.57m (Sydney and Brisbane) + 0.11m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
Movie: Back to the Future III rpt 0.41m
Movie: The Expenables 3 rpt 0.28m
I think main channel will be close between Seven and Nine, but because Harry Potter airs in all markets and for longer in prime time than NRL Trans test, should push Seven across, also with multi-channels.