2017 Ratings Predictions

28 Oct 2017
Lots of sport happening on Saturday but still a mediocre night. Seven will win tonight
Horse Racing - 160k
RLWC - PNG v WAL - 87k (7mate)
RLWC - NZ v SAM - 99k (7mate)
RLWC - FIJ v USA - 100k (7mate)
Star Wars - Revenge of the sith - 520k
Fast5 Netball - 94k (9Gem)
Rugby Union - AUS v Barbarians - 104k (TEN)
A League - 124k (ONE)

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Seven will have won Saturday easily, with Star Wars and RLWC on 7mate.

–

Sunday the 29th of October 2017

Nine will have a huge win, with The Block finale.

Though the relatively short run time & what is arguably the biggest Star Wars film after it on Ch 7, may affect Nine’s share…

No. 1 network: Nine

No. 1 main channel: Ch 9

•The Block (winner announced): 2.1m
•The Block (finale): 1.9m
•60 Minutes: 1.3m
•“Star Wars: Episode IV - A New Hope” (movie - Ch 7): 600k
•Sunday Night: 575k
•Highway Patrol: 550k
•Bull: 350k
•NCIS - New Orleans: 300k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7Two or 7mate

29 oct 2017
Nine will drive home to a win thanks to The block.
The Block Grand finale: 1.44m
The Block auctions: 1.67m
The Block winner Announced: 2m
Fast5 Netball: 188k (gem)
Sunday NIght: 556k
The Sunday Project: 233k

Sunday October 29
The Block will dominate tonight’s viewing, that’s for sure.

The Block finale 1.74m
The Block auction 1.95m
The Block winner announced 2.3m
60 Minutes 1.24m
Fast5 Netball average 0.12m (9Gem)

Sunday Night 0.67m
Highway Patrol 0.54m
Movie: Star Wars: A New Hope rpt 0.39m
Rugby League World Cup: Ireland v Italy live 70,000 (7mate)
Rugby League World Cup: Scotland v Tonga live 83,000 (7mate)
Rugby League World Cup: France v Lebanon delayed 60,000 (7mate)

Bull 0.25m
NCIS: New Orleans 0.23m / 0.18m

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Monday the 30th of October 2017

Big night of TV, with new shows launching on Seven and Nine.

No idea how either will perform, but my gut says there’ll be interest in Wall and Liar first off…

No. 1 network: Seven

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7 (just)

•The Wall (series premiere): 1.25m
•Liar (series premiere): 850k
•Family Food Fight (series premiere): 750k
•HYBPA: 725k
•Menendez Murders: 475k
•All Star Family Feud: 450k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7mate

•“Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom” (movie) encore: 165k

Monday October 30
The battle of the night is Family Food Fight v The Wall. It could go either way.

Family Food Fight series premiere 1.12m
Law & Order True Crime: The Menendez Murders 0.45m

The Wall series premiere 1.04m
Liar series premiere 0.63m

All Star Family Feud 0.48m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.76m

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Wall: 750k

Food Fight: 525k

Tuesday October 31
The Wall will have a big fall but will win its timeslot.

The Wall 0.74m
The Good Doctor series premiere 0.52m
Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders 0.25m

Family Food Fight 0.56m
The Big Bang Theory new 0.69m
Kath & Kim rpt 0.37m / 0.33m

Jamie’s Quick & Easy Food 0.44m
NCIS 0.41m
NCIS: Los Angeles 0.35m

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Wednesday November 1
It will be fairly even between the commercial networks tonight. Can Family Food Fight get a reprieve?

Family Food Fight 0.59m
Movie: Spectre premiere 0.41m (except Perth)
Movie: Fast & Furious 7 premiere 0.12m (Perth)

First Dates 0.51m
The Grand Tour 0.43m
The Jonathan Ross Show (Ch7 premiere) 0.22m

Jamie’s Quick & Easy Food 0.39m
Sisters 0.47m
Madam Secretary season premiere 0.18m

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Yes, all networks should see something positive ratings wise tonight.

I think multi-channels will give Seven the win overall, ABC have a chance of taking out main channel.

I also don’t expect FFF to gain many viewers (if any).

The Good Doctor: 1m

Thursday November 2
Ten should win tonight but much will depend on the ratings of CRAM. Gogglebox hit the 200,000 mark last night on Foxtel but I don’t think it will set another FTA audience record.

CRAM series premiere 0.75m
Gogglebox 0.82m
Law & Order: SVU 0.37m

Home and Away triple episode 0.67m
The Good Doctor 0.79m
Movie: The Sapphires rpt 0.25m

RBT 0.45m
Killer Women with Piers Morgan rpt 0.38m
Wolf Creek - FTA series premiere 0.26m

I reckon it’ll be a miracle

I’d be very suprised if CRAM! cracks over 400k viewers tonight, it has a great lead out following it but doesn’t look like must see viewing IMO.

Cram will start off well but will drop viewers after watching the show.
Cram - 708k
Gogglebox - 689k
Home and Away - 589k
Good Doctor - 788k
Sapphires (2012) - 244k
RBT - 448k
Killer Women with Piers Morgan - 355k

RLWC: 875k (7 + 7mate)

3 Nov 2017
Seven will be too good tonight thanks to RLWC.
RLWC - 701k
Living Room - 411k
Movie: Harry Potter: 404k
TGNS: 380k
HYBPA (rpt) - 221k

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Friday November 3
Rugby League World Cup: Australia v France
Seven 0.79m (Sydney 0.33m + Melbourne 0.22m + Brisbane 0.24m) + 7mate 76,000 (Adelaide 36,000 + Perth 40,000)
Better Homes and Gardens 0.48m (Seven) + 0.11m (7TWO)
Movie: 50 First Dates rpt 0.13m (Adelaide and Perth)

Movie: Harry Potter and the Philosopher’s Stone rpt 0.45m

The Living Room 0.49m
The Graham Norton Show 0.47m

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The Empire Strikes Back: 600k

Jurassic Park: 350k

7mate: 7% share

Saturday November 4
Melbourne Cup carnival: AAMI Derby Day 0.23m average
Movie: Star Wars: The Empire Strikes Back rpt 0.56m
Movie: Jurassic Park rpt 0.33m
Rugby League World Cup: New Zealand v Scotland 0.25m
Rugby League World Cup: Samoa v Tonga 0.23m
Rugby League World Cup: England v Lebanon 0.27m

Movie: Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets rpt 0.43m

Movie: Con Air rpt 0.24m

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