2017 Ratings Predictions

Saturday September 30
I also think the GF will hit 3 million if it is a close game. Nevertheless it should exceed the audience watching State of Origin this year.

AFL Grand Final: Adelaide v Richmond
2.98 million (Sydney 0.32m + Melbourne 1.5m + Brisbane 0.31m + Adelaide 0.51m + Perth 0.34m)
AFL GF - Presentations 2.87m
AFL GF - Post Match 2.3m (plus 450,000 on 7mate for concert)
AFL GF - On the Ground 2.1m
AFL GF - Pre Match Entertainment 1.47m
AFL GF - Preview 0.52m
AFL GF - Game Day 0.35m

Movie: Raiders of the Lost Ark rpt 0.65m (still think FTA premiere of a Disney movie will get more viewers)
Movie: 47 Ronin rpt 0.32m

Riverfire 0.34m (Brisbane)
Movie: ET rpt 0.41m
Movie: Kindergarten Cop rpt 0.34m

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Australian Open Men’s Final is actually the program to beat so far this year, at around 2.7m. :+1:

1 oct 2017
Nine will storm home thanks to NRL GF.

Holden Cup: 250k
State Championships: 550k
NRL GF Pre-Match performance: 1.44m
NRL GF Melbourne v North QLD: 2.574m (Syd: 900k, Mel: 700k, BNE: 750k, Ade: 104k, Per: 120k)
NRL GF Presentations: 2.22m
Nine News Sunday: 1.33m (overruns in Perth will be adjusted once it consolidates)
Little Big Shots: 899k
Sunday Project: 280k

No 1 network: Nine
No 1 Primary network: Nine

Sunday October 1
NRL grand final will be huge.

Holden Cup final 0.26m (Sydney and Brisbane)
State Championship final 0.45m (Sydney and Brisbane)
NRL Grand Final pre-match entertainment 1.15m
NRL Grand Final: Melbourne v North Queensland
2.53 million (Sydney 0.97m + Melbourne 0.61m + Brisbane 0.72m + Adelaide 0.11m + Perth 0.12m)
NRL Grand Final - Post Match 1.45m

Little Big Shots 0.67m
Sunday Night 0.54m
Movie: Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation premiere 0.36m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
Movie: Fifty Shades of Grey rpt 0.21m (Sydney and Brisbane)

The Sunday Project 0.27m / 0.33m
Movie: The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel rpt 0.32m

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The NRL Grand Final will be well down on last year’s ratings here in Sydney, but should still blow everything else out of the water nonetheless.

My prediction for the metro ratings of the match: 2.29 million (Sydney 850k, Melbourne 500k, Brisbane 750k, Adelaide 80k, Perth 110k)

2 Likes

NRL Grand Final: 2m

Monday October 2
So many new programs tonight!

The Block 1.45m
Law & Order True Crime: The Menendez Murders series premiere 0.64m
Chicago Justice series premiere 0.32m

Manhunt series premiere 0.71m
Highway Patrol 0.67m / 0.62m
Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders season premiere 0.29m

Australian Survivor 0.62m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.71m
Man with a Plan series premiere 0.26m

1 Like

I expect both the Manhunt and Menendez programs to rate well in their timeslots.

Nine will win with The Block resuming.

Tuesday October 3
The Block 1.32m
The Big Bang Theory 0.81m
Kath & Kim rpt 0.47m / 0.38m

Australian Survivor 0.62m
NCIS rpt 0.38m
NCIS: Los Angeles season premiere 0.29m

First Dates 0.58m
800 Words 0.51m

1 Like

Wednesday October 4
The Block 1.34m
Doctor Doctor 0.71m

Border Security 0.67m
The Force 0.62m
Criminal Minds new 0.45m

The Bachelorette 0.87m
The Wrong Girl 0.42m
Hawaii Five-O season premiere 0.21m

2 Likes

Thursday October 5
No respite for Seven and Ten as The Block is on tonight. The soccer should do well especially in Perth where the match will be on primetime.

The Block 1.32m
Movie: Edge of Tomorrow rpt 0.34m (Sydney and Melbourne)
Movie: Meet the Parents rpt 0.28m (Adelaide and Perth)
FIFA World Cup qualifier: AFC Playoff: Syria v Australia 0.27m + 70,000 (9GO! Perth)

The Bachelorette 0.83m
Gogglebox season premiere 0.67m
Law & Order: SVU season premiere 0.39m

Home and Away triple episode 0.65m
Mrs Brown’s Boys Christmas special premiere 0.42m / 0.37m

5 Oct 17
The Block: 1.31m
FIFA WCQ: Syria v Australia: 340k (including 9Go in Perth)

The Bachelorette: 824k
Gogglebox: 665k
Law and Order SVU: 388k

Home and Away (x3 Episode): 633k
Mrs Browns Boys: 410k/366k

I was watching some of this tonight though? Melbourne

No more footy :scream:

It’ll be good news for Ten, should be up a bit.

But Seven should still easily win Friday and Saturday, with Better Homes and Indiana Jones + loyal Adelaide and Perth markets.

6 Oct 2017
A mediocre night for TV shows.
Living Room - 410k
Better Homes and Gardens: 600k
Vet on the Hill: 360k
The Link: 325k
QI: 340k

1 Like

Indiana Jones won’t pull around 800k again (last week became the biggest movie of 2017, following the Grand Final).

But it’ll still be big.

•Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom: 500k

Saturday October 7
A-League debut on Ten will pull mediocre figures I am afraid.

Back Page Live season premiere 0.11m
A-League: Melbourne Victory v Sydney FC 0.16m

Movie: Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom rpt 0.55m
Movie: Elysium rpt 0.33m

Movie: Oddball premiere 0.43m
Movie: Red Dog rpt 0.32m

1 Like

8 October 2017
V8s will drive Ten home for a top rating program for the day.

V8 Supercars - 1.67m
The Block - 1.19m
Little Big Shots - 1.01m
Survivor - 625k
Wake in Fright - 488k
60 Mins - 744k
Australia v Argentina Rugby - 35k (on one)

Sunday October 8
Rugby: Argentina v Australia 35,000 (One)
Supercars: Bathurst 1000 pre race 0.67m
Supercars: Bathurst 1000 race 1.13m
Supercars: Bathurst 1000 podium 1.27m
Family Feud 0.34m
The Sunday Project 0.37m / 0.41m
Australian Survivor 0.63m
Wake in Fright premiere 0.71m

Little Big Shots 1.02m
Sunday Night 0.74m

The Block 1.42m
60 Minutes 0.91m
Pink: Live in Australia special premiere 0.45m

The block 1.6m