2017 Ratings Predictions

Thursday the 7th of September 2017

Seven first, daylight second.

As footy finals kick-off. Will also affect other shows’ ratings…

No. 1 network: Seven

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7

•AFL - 1st Qualifying Final (ADE v GWS): 1.47m
[Ch 7 Syd: 150k + Melb: 475k + Adel: 275k + 7mate Bris: 40k + Per: 130k + Fox Footy simulcast: 400k]

•The Bachelor: 630k
•RBT: 575k
•NRL Footy Show (Syd + Bris): 375k
•The Wrong Girl: 275k
•LOL (Bris + Per): 190k
•World’s Deadliest (Bris + Per): 150k
•Truth & Lies (Melb + Adel + Per): 130k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7mate or 7Two

Thursday September 7
The AFL finals will do very well in Adelaide but in Sydney it will be beaten by The Bachelor and NRL Footy Show. Overall, The Bachelor will take a hit in the ratings.

AFL 1st qualifying final: Adelaide v GWS 790,000
Seven 680,000 (Sydney 130,000 + Melbourne 310,000 + Adelaide 240,000) + 7mate 110,000 (Brisbane 25,000 + Perth 85,000)

The Bachelor 0.65m
The Wrong Girl 0.34m

RBT 0.47m
NRL Footy Show 0.28m (Sydney and Brisbane)
Truth and Lies: The Family Manson premiere 0.25m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)

7 Sep 2017
AFL will drive Seven home to a win, although 7 will have staggered schedules in the markets

AFL - 778k (including 28000 in BNE and 92000 in PER)
Bachelor - 625k
Wrong Girl - 334k
RBT - 433k
NRL FS - 212k
Truth and Lies - 224k

Friday the 8th of September 2017

Seven will dominate, with one of the most anticipated footy finals in recent times…

No. 1 network: Seven

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7

•AFL - 2nd Qualifying Final (GEEL vs RICH): 1.457m
[Ch 7 Melb: 600k + Adel: 175k + 7mate Syd: 60k + Bris: 50k + Per: 150k + Fox Footy simulcast: 422k]

•Better Homes and Gardens (7+7Two): 775k
•NRL Qualifying Final (Syd + Bris): 600k
•The Living Room: 500k
•HBYPA (encore): 400k
•“Sweet Home Alabama” (movie - Ch 7 + 7mate): 268k
•Vet On The Hill: 150k
•Secret Life Of The Zoo: 125k
•“Sliding Doors” (movie - Ch 9): 90k

No. 1 multi-channel: 7mate

Friday September 8
The sell-out AFL final will dominate in Melbourne.

AFL 2nd qualifying final: Geelong v Richmond
Seven 700,000 (Melbourne 550,000 + Adelaide 150,000) + 7mate 140,000 (Sydney 25,000 + Brisbane 20,000 + Perth 95,000)
Better Homes and Gardens 0.62m (Seven) + 0.13m (7TWO)
Movie: Sweet Home Alabama rpt 0.29m (Sydney, Brisbane and Perth)

NRL qualifying final: Roosters v Broncos
Nine 520,000 (Sydney 250,000 + Brisbane 270,000) + 9Gem 30,000 (Melbourne 20,000 + Adelaide 4,000 + Perth 6,000)
Movie: Sliding Doors rpt 0.26m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)

The Living Room 0.39m
Have You Been Paying Attention encore 0.28m

1 Like

I also think Seven will get over 40% network share tonight.

Saturday the 9th of September 2017

Seven will have its 3rd huge win in a row, with two back-to-back footy finals.

Seven News & Seven’s share in Perth will both be massive too.

Other programs will be down, due to the live sport…

No. 1 network: Seven

No. 1 main channel: Ch 7

•AFL - 2nd Elimination Final (SYD vs. ESS): 1.41m
[Ch 7 Syd: 160k + Melb: 525k + Adel: 130k + Per: 150k + 7mate Bris: 40k + Fox Footy simulcast: 405k]

•AFL - 1st Elimination Final (PORT vs. WCE): 1.35m
[Ch 7 Melb: 430k + Adel: 210k + Per: 250k + 7mate Syd: 40k + Bris: 40k + Fox Footy simulcast: 380k]

•Father Brown: 625k
•Shetland: 575k
•NRL - evening final (Syd + Bris): 515k
•NRL - arvo final (Syd + Bris): 450k
•“Raising Helen” (movie - Ch 7 + 7mate): 215k
•“Couples Retreat” (movie - Ch 7 + 7mate): 175k
•“Miss Congeniality” (movie - Ch 9): 130k
•“The Wedding Planner” (movie - Ch 9): 105k

No. 1 multi-channel: 9Go! or 7mate

Saturday September 9
This will be interesting…live AFL and NRL finals going head to head on main channel in Sydney and Melbourne.

AFL: 2nd elimination final: Sydney v Essendon
Seven 799,000 (Sydney 140,000 + Melbourne 460,000 + Adelaide 104,000 + Perth 95,000) + 7mate 30,000 (Brisbane)
Seven News 920,000
AFL: 1st elimination final: Port Adelaide v West Coast
Seven 750,000 (Melbourne 340,000 + Adelaide 190,000 + Perth 220,000) + 7mate 47,000 (Sydney 23,000 + Brisbane 24,000)
Movie: Raising Helen rpt 0.27m (Sydney and Brisbane)
Movie: Couples Retreat rpt 0.25m (Sydney, Brisbane and Perth)

NRL qualifying final: Storm v Eels
Nine 630,000 (Sydney 290,000 + Melbourne 80,000 + Brisbane 260,000) + 9Gem 5,000 (Adelaide 2,000 + Perth 3,000)
Nine News 850,000
NRL elimination final: Sea Eagles v Panthers
Nine 580,000 (Sydney 330,000 + Brisbane 250,000) + 9Gem 10,000 (Melbourne 5,000 + Adelaide 1,500 + Perth 3,5000)
Movie: Miss Congeniality rpt 0.24m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
Movie: The Wedding Planner rpt 0.18m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)

Rugby union: Australia v South Africa 0.35m

9 Sep 2017
AFL and NRL will dominate over Rugby Union
Sydney v Essendon - 800k (including 30k on 7mate in BNE)
7 News - 934k
Port Adelaide v West Coast - 777k (Including 24k in Sydney and 25k in BNE on 7mate)
NRL Storm v Eels - 665k (including 4000 in Adelaide and 3000 in Perth on 9GEM)
9 News - 868k
NRL Sea Eagles v Panthers - 600k (including 10k in MEL, 4000 in Adelaide and 5000 in Perth)
Movie: Miss Congeniality rpt -244k (Mel, Adelaide, Perth)
Rugby Union - 244k

Sunday September 10
Little Big Shots 1.31m
Sunday Night 0.78m
I am Heath Ledger premiere 0.47m

NRL elimination final: Cronulla v North Queensland
Nine 610,000 (Sydney 280,000 + Brisbane 330,000) + 9Gem 7,000 (Melbourne 3,000 + Adelaide 1,000 + Perth 3,000)
The Block 1.23m
60 Minutes 0.77m
Murder Calls rpt 0.32m

The Sunday Project 0.27m/0.32m
Australian Survivor 0.62m
Movie: Kingsman: The Secret Service rpt 0.34m

Little Big shots 1.1m
The block 1.2m

LBS: 1.5m
(endless promos, which were actually funny, during the AFL Finals should help)

1 Like

10 September 2017

NRL Finals: 665k + 30k on GEM
Little Big Shots: 1.33m
Sunday Night: 774k
I am Heath Ledger: 484k
The Block: 1.22m
60 Mins: 772k
Murder Calls: 334k
Family Feud Sunday: 244k
The Sunday Project: 277k/298k
Australian Survivor: 624k
Movie: Kingsman: 323k

Monday September 11
The Block 1.27m
This Time Next Year 0.84m

Highway Patrol 0.69m / 0.65m
Little Boy Blue series premiere 0.45m / 0.37m

Australian Survivor 0.63m
Have You Been Paying Attention? 0.71m

1 Like

Tuesday September 12
The Block 1.2m
The Big Bang Theory 0.61m
Kath & Kim rpt 0.47m / 0.35m

First Dates season premiere 0.67m
800 Words season premiere 0.58m

Shark Tank 0.49m

First Dates (season premiere): 775k

800 Words (season premiere): 700k

1 Like

Wednesday September 13
The Block 1.17m
Doctor Doctor 0.7m

Border Security 0.67m
The Force 0.65m
Criminal Minds new 0.44m

The Bachelor 0.75m
Movie: The Heat rpt 0.32m

Boring night of TV, bar the Bachelor finale :sleeping:

Which will dominate, I reckon 975k (final decision 1.05m).

Front Bar won last week, but will lose tonight (Melbourne).

14 sep 2017

  • Make You LOL - 477k
  • RBT - 533k
  • Bachelor - 922k
  • Final Decision - 990k
  • Front Bar - 297k
  • afl Footy show - 310k (Mel, ADE, Per)
  • nrl footy show - 180k (Syd, BNE)
  • Wrong Girl - 330k

Thursday September 14
Those paparazzi photos taken last month could have some impact on the ratings of The Bachelor finale tonight.

The Bachelor finale 0.89m
The Bachelor: the final decision 1.04m
The Wrong Girl 0.35m

Kittens Make You Laugh Out Loud 0.45m
The Front Bar 0.37m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)

RBT rpt 0.54m
AFL Footy Show 0.32m (Melbourne, Adelaide and Perth)
NRL Footy Show 0.25m (Sydney and Brisbane)